Friday, February 19, 2010

UFC 110 MADMAN ROUNDTABLE - Staff Predictions, Discussion and Madness Levels for Every Fight on the Card

Welcome to the Madman Roundtable for UFC 110: NOGUEIRA VS. VELASQUEZ. For each major MMA event, we'll feature a roundtable discussion of the fights, including Madness Levels and Predictions for each and every fight on the card.

The roundtable features madmen Jerry Cattelane, Josh King, Johnny Nguyen, Brian Palmer, Randy Rowles and John Taylor.

In the future, we'll start running contests for every event where readers can make predictions. With the first contest, we'll establish a Madman Prediction Champion and number one contender. Then for every event thereafter, the contest winner will become the new number one contender and go head-to-head with the champion at the next event for the title. The Madman Prediction Champion and number one contender will be included in future roundtable columns.

Madness Levels are in parenthesis. They indicate the level of excitement a staff member has for a fight based on a scale of 1 to 10. The numbers in brackets beside the fighters' names indicate how many staff members picked them to win.

Josh King won the inaugural Madman Roundtable with his UFC 109 predictions, and will be defending his status as the top Madman Fight Predictor. Until he is dethroned, we shall call him King King.


FIGHTER A [number of staff predictions to win] vs. FIGHTER B [same]

STAFF MEMBER - (Madness Level on scale of 1-10) Discussion. Prediction



JOSH KING – (2 out of 10) Te Huna by better name. Te Huna by Unanimous Decision

JERRY CATTELANE – (1) Meh, I always like to root for the hometown boys. So, let's go with Te Huna by TKO in Round 3

JOHNNY NGUYEN – (1) I'm gonna go with Te Huna by Decision

BRIAN PALMER – (6) Te Huna hits hard and has descent striking, but it wont be enough to outgun Igor in a stand-up war. Pokrajac by flash KO in Round 2

RANDY ROWLES – (4) The heavy-handed Te Huna should get the crowd riled up with an opening fight knockout. Te Huna by KO in Round 1

JOHN TAYLOR – (1) All I know is that Te Huna beat Anthony Perosh who's going to get murdered by Cro Cop on the main card. Pokrajac trains with Cro Cop. Literally all I know about these two. I'll roll with Pokrajac by TKO in Round 2

INSANE UFC 110 PREVIEW: Betting Odds, Chances of Fighters Winning, Statistical Analysis and Predictions for Every Fight

Go into insane detail in this preview of UFC 110: NOGUEIRA VS. VELASQUEZ. Includes breakdowns of betting odds with analysis, win-loss records, UFC wins and losses, biggest victories, fighter profiles and backgrounds, logical outcomes, Madness Levels and Madman Predictions for every single fight on card. UFC 110 will be held Saturday February 20, 2010 at the Acer Arena in Sydney, Australia. The main card will air live on PPV in North America starting at 10:00 pm EST.

Betting lines are for entertainment purposes only and are included here to illustrate oddsmakers' projections. Madness Levels indicate the amount of insanity inspired in anticipation of a fight on a scale of one to ten. Madman Logic is determined by my trusty sidekick, the Madman Computer, which uses a mathematical formula based on previous results to determine what the most logical outcome would be if either fighter were to win.

Striving to be the most analytically astute fight preview column possible. Let the madness begin...

UD = Unanimous | SD = Split | MD = Majority Decision | SUB = Submission | (T)KO = (Technical)Knockout



Light Heavyweight Bout

JAMES TE HUNA (-170) = 60% chance of winning

IGOR POKRAJAC (+140) = 40% chance of winning

James Te Huna is 11-4, with 6 wins by (T)KO and 3 wins by submission. Te Huna has lost 3 times by submission and lost once by DQ. Te Huna will be making his UFC debut, and is coming off a win over Anthony Perosh at CFC 10 (8/09).

BIGGEST TE HUNA WIN: over Anthony Perosh by KO to win CFC Light Heavyweight Grand Prix (8/09)

Igor Pokrajac is 21-6, with 11 wins by (T)KO and 7 wins by submission. Pokrajac has lost 3 times by (T)KO, lost twice by decision and lost once by submission. Pokrajac is 0-1 in the UFC, and is coming off a loss to Vladimir Matyushenko at UFC 103 (9/09).

UFC L: Vladimir Matyushenko (UD)

BIGGEST POKRAJAC WIN: over Martin “King Kong” Zawada by Submission at It’s Showtime (3/08)

LOWDOWN: James Te Huna (28, 6’2”) is a New Zealander with a Muay Thai and wrestling background. Te Huna is the number one ranked light heavyweight in Australia and New Zealand. Igor Pokrajac (31, 6’0”) is a Croatian fighter with a wrestling and Brazilian Jiu Jitsu background. Pokrajac trains with the Cro Cop Squad Gym.

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 4 – The opening fight of the night features the UFC debut of James Te Huna, one of the premiere fighters out of Australia, fighting with the homefield advantage. Igor Pokrajac needs a win here or he’ll likely be released from the UFC, after being on the wrong end of a decision in his Octagon debut against Vladimir Matyushenko.

LOGIC SAYS: Te Huna by KO/DEC –OR– Pokrajac by SUB


Tuesday, February 16, 2010

Eddie Alvarez Has a Dentist Appointment in May, Lightweight Champ to Fight Josh Neer in First Bellator Superfight

Bellator Fighting Championships announced their first Super Fight will be a catchweight bout at 160 pounds between Bellator Lightweight Champion Eddie Alvarez and former UFC fighter Josh "The Dentist" Neer. The fight will be held at a Bellator event sometime in May 2010, with the exact date to be announced later.

Eddie Alvarez (19-2) is coming off a submission win over Katsunori Kikuno in Japan at DREAM 12 in October 2009. This was Alvarez's fourth fight in the 2009 calendar year, with his previous three being in the Bellator Lightweight Tournament. Alvarez defeated Greg Loughran, Eric Reynolds and Toby Imada in 2009 to become the inaugural Bellator Lightweight Champion. Alvarez is currently ranked #3 in the Madman Lightweight Top 10 Rankings.

Josh Neer (26-9) is coming off back-to-back wins in smaller fight promotions, after losing back-to-back fights in the UFC. Neer went 2-3 in his most recent UFC stint, submitting Mac Danzig and winning a decision over Din Thomas, but losing decisions to Gleison Tibau, Kurt Pellegrino and Nate Diaz.

This Bellator Superfight will be a non-title affair. Eddie Alvarez will next defend his Bellator Lightweight Champion later this year against the winner of the upcoming 2010 Bellator Lightweight Tournament. Alvarez is pictured below mid-flight, doing his trademark backflip off the cage after a victory.

VIDEO: Elvis Sinosic vs Chris Haseman Fight from 1997 with Chin to the Eye Finish - Rematch Set for UFC 110 in Australia

The UFC 110: NOGUEIRA VS. VELASQUEZ undercard will feature a rematch of Aussies nearly 13 years in the making. UFC 110 will be held Saturday February 20, 2010 at the Acer Arena in Sydney, Australia. In a fight booked for its local flavor over its relevance, Australian UFC veterans Elvis "The King of Rock n Rumble" Sinosic (8-11) and Chris "The Hammer" Haseman (20-16) will fight in a preliminary bout. Sinosic is 1-6 in the UFC, while Haseman is 0-1.

On March 22, 1997, CAGED COMBAT 1: AUSTRALIAN ULTIMATE FIGHTING was held in Sydney, Australia. The event featured a one-night, eight-man MMA tournament ala the old school UFC events. Elvis Sinosic made his MMA debut on that night, winning his opening round fight via TKO in 41 seconds. Chris Haseman, with only two previous fights under his belt, also won his opening round fight via the "dreaded chin to the eye" submission!

After winning their opening round fights, Elvis Sinosic and Chris Haseman then met in the tournament semi-finals. I won't spoil the fight outcome, so you can enjoy the excitement of the above grainy video with choppy, eardrum-piercing audio, but let me just say the finish involves someone's chin in someone's eye! The winner of this fight would go on to lose in the tournament finale to MMA legend Mario "Zen Machine" Sperry.

While this bizarre rematch isn't going to be producing a UFC light heavyweight contender, it should be a fun throwback fight for the Australian crowd. And one thing is for certain, if anyone tries to put their chin in anyone else's eye at UFC 110, we're going to get a disqualification finish rather than a submission now that we're in the modern era of MMA and the eyeballs are off-limits for submission moves.


Monday, February 15, 2010

UFC 110: NOGUEIRA VS. VELASQUEZ - 2/20/10 Fight Card

UFC 110: NOGUEIRA VS. VELASQUEZ -- February 20, 2010

Location: Acer Arena in Sydney, Australia

Broadcast: PPV


Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira (32-5) vs. Cain Velasquez (7-0)

Michael Bisping (18-2) vs. Wanderlei Silva (32-10)

George Sotiropoulos (11-2) vs. Joe Stevenson (31-10)

Ryan Bader (10-0) vs. Keith Jardine (15-6)

Mirko Cro Cop (25-7) vs. Anthony Perosh (10-5)


Stephan Bonnar (11-6) vs. Krzystof Soszynski (18-9)

Brian Foster (13-4) vs. Chris Lytle (27-17)

C.B. Dollaway (9-2) vs. Goran Reljic (8-0)

Igor Pokrajac (21-6) vs. James Te Huna (11-4)

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Phil Davis vs Alexander Gustafsson at UFC 112 - Undefeated Light Heavyweight Prospects Square Off in Abu Dhabi is reporting a light heavyweight contest will take place between undefeated fighters Phil "Mr. Wonderful" Davis and Alexander "The Mauler" Gustafsson at UFC 112: INVINCIBLE on April 10, 2010 at the Concert Arena in Ferrari World on Yas Island in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. The event will be headlined by two title fights, when Anderson Silva defends his UFC Middleweight Championship against Demian Maia, and B.J. Penn defends his UFC Lightweight Championship against Frankie Edgar.

Phil Davis (5-0) is coming off a unanimous decision win in his UFC debut over Brian Stann less than 2 weeks ago at UFC 109: RELENTLESS. Davis was an accomplished amateur wrestler at Penn State University, winning the 197-pound NCAA title in 2008. Davis began his MMA career late that same year, in October 2008.

Alexander Gustafsson (9-0) is coming off a 41-second KO win in his UFC debut over Jared Hamman at UFC 105 in November 2009. Gustafsson is a Swedish fighter who began his MMA career in late 2007. Here's a rough English Google translation of Gustafsson's official blog