Betting lines are for entertainment purposes only and are included here to illustrate oddsmakers' projections. Madness Levels indicate the amount of insanity inspired in anticipation of a fight on a scale of one to ten. Madman Logic is determined by my trusty sidekick, the Madman Computer, which uses a mathematical formula based on previous results to determine what the most logical outcome would be if either fighter were to win.
Striving to be the most analytically astute fight preview column possible. Let the madness begin...
UD = Unanimous | SD = Split | MD = Majority Decision | SUB = Submission | (T)KO = (Technical)Knockout
UFC 110: NOGUEIRA VS. VELASQUEZ
Light Heavyweight Bout
JAMES TE HUNA (-170) = 60% chance of winning
IGOR POKRAJAC (+140) = 40% chance of winning
James Te Huna is 11-4, with 6 wins by (T)KO and 3 wins by submission. Te Huna has lost 3 times by submission and lost once by DQ. Te Huna will be making his UFC debut, and is coming off a win over Anthony Perosh at CFC 10 (8/09).
BIGGEST TE HUNA WIN: over Anthony Perosh by KO to win CFC Light Heavyweight Grand Prix (8/09)
Igor Pokrajac is 21-6, with 11 wins by (T)KO and 7 wins by submission. Pokrajac has lost 3 times by (T)KO, lost twice by decision and lost once by submission. Pokrajac is 0-1 in the UFC, and is coming off a loss to Vladimir Matyushenko at UFC 103 (9/09).
UFC L: Vladimir Matyushenko (UD)
BIGGEST POKRAJAC WIN: over Martin “King Kong” Zawada by Submission at It’s Showtime (3/08)
LOWDOWN: James Te Huna (28, 6’2”) is a New Zealander with a Muay Thai and wrestling background. Te Huna is the number one ranked light heavyweight in Australia and New Zealand. Igor Pokrajac (31, 6’0”) is a Croatian fighter with a wrestling and Brazilian Jiu Jitsu background. Pokrajac trains with the Cro Cop Squad Gym.
MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 4 – The opening fight of the night features the UFC debut of James Te Huna, one of the premiere fighters out of Australia, fighting with the homefield advantage. Igor Pokrajac needs a win here or he’ll likely be released from the UFC, after being on the wrong end of a decision in his Octagon debut against Vladimir Matyushenko.
LOGIC SAYS: Te Huna by KO/DEC –OR– Pokrajac by SUB
PREDICTION: James Te Huna____________________________________________