Saturday, March 6, 2010

INSANE SENGOKU 12 PREVIEW: Betting Odds, Chances of Fighters Winning, Analysis and Predictions for Every Fight



Go into insane detail in this preview of SENGOKU RAIDEN CHAMPIONSHIP 12. Includes breakdowns of betting odds with analysis, win-loss records, SRC wins and losses, biggest victories, fighter profiles and backgrounds, logical outcomes, Madness Levels and Madman Predictions for every single fight on the card. SRC 12 will be held Sunday March 7, 2010 at the Ryogoku Kokugikan in Tokyo, Japan. The event will not air live in North America, but instead will be broadcast via tape-delay on HDNet on March 12 at 10:00 pm EST.

Betting lines are for entertainment purposes only and are included here to illustrate oddsmakers' projections. Madness Levels indicate the amount of insanity inspired in anticipation of a fight on a scale of one to ten. Madman Logic is determined by my trusty sidekick, the Madman Computer, which uses a mathematical formula based on previous results to determine what the most logical outcome would be if either fighter were to win.

Striving to be the most analytically astute fight preview column possible. Let the madness begin...

UD = Unanimous | SD = Split | MD = Majority Decision | SUB = Submission | (T)KO = (Technical)Knockout
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SENGOKU RAIDEN CHAMPIONSHIP 12

Featherweight Bout

SHIGEKI OSAWA (-295) = 71% chance of winning

KYUNG HO KANG (+235) = 29% chance of winning

Shigeki Osawa is 4-1, with 3 wins by decision and 1 win by TKO. Osawa’s only loss was by decision. Osawa is 3-1 in SRC, and is coming off a loss to Ronnie Mann at Sengoku 11 (11/09).

SRC W: Ki Hyun Kim (UD), Toru Harai (TKO), Kota Ishibashi (UD)

SRC L: Ronnie Mann (UD)

BIGGEST OSAWA WIN: over Toru Harai by TKO at Sengoku 9 (8/09)

Kyung Ho Kang is 4-2, with 2 wins by submission and 1 win by TKO. Kang has lost once by decision and lost once by KO. Kang will be making his SRC debut, and is coming off a decision loss to Atsushi Yamamoto in DEEP (11/09).

BIGGEST KANG WIN: over Nam Sun Kim by TKO due to doctor stoppage at Spirit MC 17 (6/08)

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 2 – Japanese versus South Korean opener, always a good way to get the Japanese crowd involved early. Shigeki Osawa has a wrestling background and trains at the Yoshida Dojo. All but one of Osawa’s fights have been in Sengoku, while Kyung Ho Kang will be making his Sengoku debut. This fight is Osawa’s to lose.

LOGIC SAYS: Osawa by KO/DEC –OR– Kang by SUB/DEC

PREDICTION: Shigeki Osawa
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Thursday, March 4, 2010

INSANE WEC 47 PREVIEW: Betting Odds, Chances of Fighters Winning, Statistical Analysis and Predictions for Every Fight


Go into insane detail in this preview of WEC 47: BOWLES VS. CRUZ. Includes breakdowns of betting odds with analysis, win-loss records, WEC wins and losses, biggest victories, fighter profiles and backgrounds, logical outcomes, Madness Levels and Madman Predictions for every single fight on the card. WEC 47 will be held Saturday March 6, 2010 at the Nationwide Arena in Columbus, Ohio. The main card will air live on Versus in North America starting at 10:00 pm EST.

Betting lines are for entertainment purposes only and are included here to illustrate oddsmakers' projections. Madness Levels indicate the amount of insanity inspired in anticipation of a fight on a scale of one to ten. Madman Logic is determined by my trusty sidekick, the Madman Computer, which uses a mathematical formula based on previous results to determine what the most logical outcome would be if either fighter were to win.

Striving to be the most analytically astute fight preview column possible. Let the madness begin...

UD = Unanimous | SD = Split | MD = Majority Decision | SUB = Submission | (T)KO = (Technical)Knockout
____________________________________________

WEC 47: BOWLES VS. CRUZ

PRELIMINARY BOUTS

Lightweight Bout

RICARDO LAMAS (-250) = 67% chance of winning

BENDY CASIMIR (+190) = 33% chance of winning

Ricardo “The Bully” Lamas is 7-1, with 4 wins by decision, 2 wins by submission and 1 win by TKO. Lamas’ only loss was by TKO. Lamas is 2-1 in the WEC, and is coming off a win over James Krause at WEC 44 (11/09).

WEC W: James Krause (UD), Bart Palaszewski (UD)

WEC L: Danny Castillo (TKO)

BIGGEST LAMAS WIN: over Bart Palaszewski by Unanimous Decision at WEC 39 (3/09)

Bendy Casimir is 19-5, with 12 wins by submission, 4 wins by decision and 3 wins by TKO. Casimir has lost 3 times by submission and lost twice by TKO. Casimir will be making his WEC debut, and is coming off a unanimous decision win over Maratbek Kalabekov in ProFC (3/09).

BIGGEST CASIMIR WIN: over Andre Winner by Majority Decision in CWFC (4/08)

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 5Ricardo Lamas (27 years old, 5'8" height) was an All-American wrestler at Elmhurst College, with over 100 career collegiate wins. Lamas should be able to use his superior wrestling to control this fight and walk away with a decision win over Bendy Casimir (29, 5'5"), a French fighter with a ton of experience who will be making his big stage debut.

LOGIC SAYS: Lamas by SUB/DEC –OR– Casimir by SUB/DEC

PREDICTION: Ricardo Lamas
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Tuesday, March 2, 2010

VIDEO: TUF 11 - All 28 Participants Announced for The Ultimate Fighter Season 11: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz



THE ULTIMATE FIGHTER 11: TEAM LIDDELL VS. TEAM ORTIZ will premiere on March 31, 2010 on Spike TV. The coaches for the eleventh season are Chuck "Iceman" Liddell and Tito "Huntington Beach Bad Boy" Ortiz. This season's tournament will feature 28 middlweight fighters. After the opening round, it is expected 2 losing fighters will advance to the next round based on their performance in their opening fight, making a 16-man second round.

Fighter backgrounds are courtesy of Spike TV. A Sherdog link has been provided for each fighter for a detailed list of their wins and losses.

Rich Attonito (7-3)

Fighting out of: Deerfield Beach, FL/American Top Team
Age: 32

A 2001 graduate of Hofstra University in Long Island, N.Y., Rich Attonito wrestled several different weight classes as a member of the Pride wrestling team including the 167-pound and 197-pound. divisions. Attonito has been training with American Top Team since he moved to Florida in 2006. He is the strength and conditioning coach for UFC veteran Luigi Fioravanti.

Seth Baczynski (11-5)

Fighting out of: Canyon, AZ/Apex MMA
Age: 28

Training partner of Santino DeFranco (TUF 9) and Efrain Escudero (TUF 8) at Apex MMA in Arizona, Seth Baczynski is a fulltime water inspector at Liberty Water.

Charles Blanchard (7-2)

Fighting out of: Coconut Creek, FL/American Top Team
Age: 24

A two-time All-State wrestler in high school, this single father is a jiu-jitsu brown belt and a published poet.

Josh Bryant (10-0)

Fighting out of: Tulsa, OK/Absolute Combat Alliance
Age: 29

A member of the Absolute Combat Alliance camp in Tulsa, Okla., Josh Bryant sports a perfect 10-0 professional mixed martial arts record. When not training, Bryant works as a manager for Mazzio's Italian Eatery in Oklahoma.

Chris Camozzi (12-3)

Fighting out of: Denver, CO/Gumm MMA
Age: 22

Camozzi is a freestyle fighter from Denver that works as a bouncer in his spare time. Two of his three losses are to Jesse Forbes (TUF 3) and Jesse Taylor (TUF 7).

Brent Cooper (5-1)

Fighting out of: Long Beach, CA/Team Oyama
Age: 31

Of Sioux Indian descent, Cooper is a pipeliner by day for Shell Oil and a devastating striker by night with four of his five wins coming via TKO.

Jacen Flynn (8-2)

Fighting out of: Meridian, ID/No camp
Age: 31

Jacen Flynn possesses an 8-2 mixed martial arts record that includes wins over UFC vets Denis Kang and Dean Lister. Away from the octagon, he is a social worker.

James Hammortree (4-1)

Fighting out of: Ocala, FL/USA Martial Arts
Age: 23

Following one season at Weber International, where he starred on the football team as a linebacker and on special teams, Hammortree left the program in order to become a full-time firefighter in Ocala, Florida. The former high school wrestler owns a 4-1 professional record with all four wins taking place in 2009.

Joe Henle (3-0)

Fighting out of: Thousand Oaks, CA/Big John McCarthy's MMA
Age: 26

Joe Henle splits time training at Big John McCarthy's MMA and working as a substitute teacher and wrestling coach in Thousand Oaks, Calif. Henle earned his MBA in financial planning from California Lutheran University in 2006. He speaks fluent Japanese.

Charley Lynch (6-0)

Fighting out of: Mound, MN/Northway MMA
Age: 25

The self-proclaimed baddest man in Minnesota, Charley Lynch owns a 6-0 professional record with zero of his bouts going to decision.

Kris McCray (5-0)

Fighting out of: Dumfries, VA/Chute Boxe
Age: 28

Son of a military father, Kris McCray was raised in Germany, where he excelled on the soccer pitch and garnered All-Europe honors in high school. In 1999, McCray moved permanently to the U.S., where he has served parts of eight years (six active, two inactive) as a member of the U.S. Army Reserve while also finding time to earn his associate's degree in social studies from Northern Virginia Community College.

Court McGee (6-1)

Fighting out of: Orem, UT/Throwdown Elite Fight Team
Age: 24

A Brazilian jiu-jitsu artist out of Orem, Utah, Court McGee beat The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom runner-up DaMarques Johnson in 2007 by submission.

Clayton McKinney (4-2)

Fighting out of: Orlando, FL/Jungle MMA
Age: 27

A teammate of Tom Lawlor (TUF 8) at Jungle MMA, Clayton McKinney is a Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt who supplements his training by working security at a local bar in Orlando.

Kyle Noke (16-4)

Fighting out of: Albuquerque, NM/Jackson 's MMA
Age: 29

Kyle Noke, from Mooloolaba, Australia, is the former bodyguard of "Crocodile Hunter" Steve Irwin. Currently training with Jackson's MMA in New Mexico, Noke defeated George Sotiropoulos (TUF 6) in June 2005 and current castmate Kyacey Uscola this past September.

Victor O'Donnell (5-1)

Fighting out of: Milford, OH/Vision MMA
Age: 27

Hailing from Milford, Ohio, O'Donnell suffered his first professional loss this past September against cast mate Costantinos Philippou. Before that, he had won five straight contests.

Norman Paraisy (5-1)

Fighting out of: Coconut Creek, FL/American Top Team
Age: 23

Norman Paraisy was born and raised Paris, France. The 5-1 Brazilian jiu-jitsu artist left France in order to pursue MMA in the States and is now a member of American Top Team.

Costantinos Philippou (5-1)

Fighting out of: Merrick, NY/Serra-Longo
Age: 30

Costantinos Philippou is a former boxer with three professional and more than 80 amateur fights on his record. The 30-year-old server from Merrick, N.Y., was born and raised in Greece. He currently trains out of the Serra-Longo camp.

Greg Rebello (8-1)

Fighting out of: Buzzards Bay, MA/Sityodtong USA
Age: 27

Greg Rebello trains fulltime at Sityodtong USA in Massachusetts under the watchful eye of Mark DellaGrotte. Currently in peak physical condition, Rebello at one time weighed in more than 300 pounds before dedicating himself to fitness at the age of 18.

Nick Ring (10-0)

Fighting out of: Calgary, Canada/B.D.B. Martial Arts
Age: 30

Nick Ring returned to MMA in May 2009 following a three-year stint away from the sport after suffering a devastating knee injury. In that time, Ring boxed professionally to the tune of a 4-1 record with three knockouts.

Jordan Smith (10-0)

Fighting out of: Clearfield, UT/Throwdown Elite Fight Team
Age: 24

A seventh-grade teacher by day, Jordan Smith is a former professional boxer that trains with fellow cast member Court McGee at Throwdown Elite Fight Team.

Ben Stark (3-1)

Fighting out of: Tamarac, FL/American Top Team
Age: 27

Born and raised a practitioner of the Orthodox Jewish religion until the age of 6, Ben Stark began training with American Top Team in Florida as a sophomore in college. When not at the gym, Stark picks up shifts at The Original Fat Cats music club and also finds time to breed snakes.

Lyle Steffens (5-2)

Fighting out of: Tucson, AZ/Apex MMA
Age: 26

Lyle Steffens is a firefighter and an EMT in Tucson, Arizona. He trains with fellow cast member Seth Baczynski at Apex MMA.

Brad Tavares (4-0)

Fighting out of: Las Vegas, NV/TapouT
Age: 21

At 21, Brad Tavares is the youngest of this season's cast members. Originally from Hilo, Hawaii, Tavares recently relocated to Las Vegas and trains fulltime with TapouT.

Warren Thompson (2-0)

Fighting out of: Marietta, GA/Team Khunpon/Roberto Traven BJJ
Age: 23

Warren Thompson, aka "The Kool-Aid Man," is a Muay-Thai fighter from Marietta, Ga. The volunteer firefighter splits his training in Atlanta between Team Khunpon and Roberto Traven BJJ.

Kyacey Uscola (18-15)

Fighting out of: Sacramento, CA/Team Alpha Male
Age: 28

Kyacey Uscola joins the cast with 33 professional MMA fights on his record. He trains with Team Alpha Male and Urijah Faber out of Sacramento.

Cleburn Walker (9-4)

Fighting out of: Keller, TX/Team Lutter
Age: 26

Born and raised in Texas, Cleburn Walker is a fulltime fighter and instructor at Team Lutter. He suffered a recent loss via submission to Jesse Forbes (TUF 3) this past June.

Woody Weatherby (7-3)

Fighting out of: Hudson, NH/Renzo Gracie/Mickey Wards Boxing Gym and Xtreme MMA
Age: 27

The former U.S. Navy officer currently works fulltime as a corrections officer for the Hillsborough County jail in Manchester, N.H . Weatherby rotates his training between two gyms: Renzo Gracie Academy in Derry, N.H., and Mickey Wards Boxing Gym and Xtreme MMA.

Jamie Yager (1-1)

Fighting out of: Los Angeles, CA/Kings MMA
Age: 25

A standout varsity letterman in baseball and football, Yager was the 2001 Athlete of the Year at South Pasadena High School in California. He picked up training MMA as a hobby and went straight from training to the professional ranks in February 2008 as part of BET's IRON RING, where he defeated his opponent by TKO.

Sunday, February 28, 2010

Busy MMA Weekend in Canada, Eh? - Results from MFC 24, CFC 4, King of the Cage: Retaliation, MFL 2 and CCF 5

By the time Team Canada had won gold in the hockey tournament, the last competition of the 2010 Vancouver Winter Olympics, there had already been 5 significant MMA events held around the country during the final Olympic weekend, which also ended up being one of the busiest weekends for mixed martial arts in Canadian history. There were three major events held in and around Edmonton, one in Winnipeg and one in Quebec.

Besides the record 14 gold medals won by Canadians during this 2010 Winter Olympics, Canadian Sarah Kaufman also captured gold of another sort this weekend, when she won the inaugural Strikeforce Women's Welterweight Championship on Friday night at STRIKEFORCE CHALLENGERS 6.

Updated MMA win-loss records with total fight time in brackets.

UD = Unanimous | SD = Split Decision | SUB = Submission | R = Round


MFC 24: HEAT XC -- 2/26/10 (Maximum Fighting Championship)

Location: River Cree Resort and Casino in Enoch, Alberta, Canada

Yves Edwards (37-15) won by TKO over Derrick Noble (25-13) in R1. [4:44]

Tom Watson (11-3) won by KO over Travis Galbraith (17-7) in R1. [1:56]

Dwayne Lewis (11-4) won by TKO over Ryan McClain (9-4) in R2. [7:08]

Jesse Juarez (13-5) won by KO over Nathan Gunn (7-2) in R1. [0:11]

Dami Egbeyemi (3-0) won by SD over Paapa Inkumsah (3-2). [15:00]

David Letourneau (2-1) won by UD over Nick Hrynchyshyn (2-1). [15:00]

Garret Nybakken (1-0) won by SUB over Chris Barber (0-1) in R1. [2:30]

Zach Blaber (2-2) won by SUB over Eric Chouinard (0-3) in R1. [1:17]

CFC 4 -- 2/26/10 (Canadian Fighting Championship)

Location: Winnipeg Convention Center in Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada

Dan Christison (18-7) won by SUB over Mike Wessel (6-2) in R3. [13:56]

John Makdessi (6-0) won by TKO over Lindsey Hawkes (4-4) in R2. [9:59]

Markhaile Wedderburn (9-5) won by SUB over Justin Barnard (5-1) in R2. [5:24]

Chase Degenhardt (6-0) won by UD over Chris Stranger (3-2). [15:00]

Lance Cartwright (2-3-1) and Sam Osman (0-0-1) ruled Technical Draw. [4:34]

Roland Delorme (5-0) won by SUB over Remi Morvan (6-4) in R1. [2:28]

Mark Durant (2-1) won by TKO over Joseph Latour (1-3) in R3. [12:07]

Jesse Ronson (2-0) won by TKO over Luis Cepeda-Javier (1-1) in R2. [8:17]

Curtis Demarce (7-7) won by SUB over Cory Houston (0-1) in R2. [7:32]

KOTC CANADA: RETALIATION -- 2/26/10 (King of the Cage)

Location: Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

{Heavyweight Championship}
Raphael Bergmann (4-0) won by UD over Adriano Bernardo (2-2). [15:00]

Mike Davis (3-2) won by UD over Tony Bibby (4-4). [15:00]

Trent Thorne (3-2) won by SUB over Bobby Kalmakoff (0-5) in R1. [2:30]

Troy Sorensen (4-2) won by SUB over Kris Kucher (2-1) in R1. [1:33]

Chase Maxwell (2-0) won by TKO over Aaron Drewniak (1-2) in R1. [2:58]

Johnny Davis (11-4) won by TKO over Gary Espinar (1-1) in R3. [13:40]

Tyler Davis (2-1) won by SUB over Cory Knapp (2-13) in R1. [1:10]

Hank Lukyn (1-0) won by SUB over Matt Lalonde (0-1) in R1. [2:14]

Daylon Erickson (1-0) won by SUB over Cody Peters (0-1) in R1. [4:08]

MFL 2: BATTLEGROUND -- 2/27/10 (Mixed Fight League)

Location: Complexe Sportif Claude-Robillard in Montreal, Quebec, Canada

David Loiseau (19-9) won by TKO over Chester Post (6-19) in R1. [4:40]

Steve Bosse (7-1) won by UD over Marvin Eastman (16-13). [15:00]

Tom Murphy (6-0) won by TKO over Bruno Hosier (3-1) in R1. [4:43]

Martin Grandmont (10-5) won by TKO over Sebastien Garguier (5-4) in R1. [4:44]

Dimitri Waardenburg (4-4) won by TKO over Mark Fraser (1-5) in R1. [1:31]

Louis-Philippe Carles (7-1) won by SUB over Chris Vorano (3-6) in R1. [4:42]

Daylin Logan (3-0) won by TKO over Eon Shirley (0-4) in R1. [1:21]

Joey Gambino (2-0) won by SUB over Louis-Phillipe Gautheir (1-1) in R1. [4:45]

Lyndon Whitlock (1-0) won by SUB over Pierre-Etienne Marcoux (0-2) in R1. [1:20]

CCF 5 -- 2/27/10 (Colosseo Championship Fighting)

Location: Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

Jorge Britto (10-6) won by KO over Josh Kyrejto (5-7) in R1. [0:37]

Tiago Tavares (2-1) won by TKO over Ryan Rother (1-4) in R1. [5:06]

Arnold Ranon (2-1) won by TKO over Corey Berridge (0-4) in R1. [0:27]

Connor Noyes (1-1) won by TKO over Chad Williams (1-1) in R1. [5:40]

Jordan Murray (5-5) won by SUB over Jon Charbonneau (2-2) in R1. [1:51]

*CCF 5 was held under modified DREAM rules, with a 10-minute opening round and a 5-minute closing round.