Friday, June 18, 2010

UFC TUF 11 FINALE MADMAN ROUNDTABLE: Preview, Predictions, Discussion, Madness Levels for Ultimate Fighter Conclusion



Welcome to the Madman Roundtable for the UFC THE ULTIMATE FIGHTER 11: TEAM LIDDELL VS TEAM ORTIZ FINALE, to be held Saturday June 19, 2010 at The Pearl at The Palms Resort Casino in Las Vegas, Nevada. The main card will air live on Spike TV starting at 9:00 pm EST.

For each major MMA event, we feature a roundtable discussion of the fights, including Predictions and Madness Levels. While the last roundtable for Strikeforce: Los Angeles was light on fights, this Roundtable is light on competitors. This roundtable lite features madmen Eric Van Den Haas, Randy Rowles and Johnny Nguyen.

Madman Prediction Champion Eric Van Den Haas successfully defended his title in head-to-head competition at UFC 115, and will be matched up at UFC 116 against Ed Stewart, who is our defending UFC Madman Roundtable Champion, winning the UFC 115 Madman Roundtable.

Madness Levels are in parenthesis. They indicate the level of excitement a staff member has for a fight based on a scale of 1 to 10. The numbers in brackets beside the fighters' names indicate how many staff members picked the respective fighters to win.
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UFC: THE ULTIMATE FIGHTER 11 FINALE

PRELIMINARY BOUTS

TRAVIS BROWNE [1] vs. JAMES McSWEENEY [2]

Average Madness Level (1-10): 4.7

ERIC VAN DEN HAAS – (6) While his 9-0 record is impressive it's his size and striking lead me to believe that Browne, like Rubber Duck of Convoy fame, is "about to put 'The Hammer' down." Travis Browne by TKO in Round 2

RANDY ROWLES – (5) Two hard-hitting big men to open the show. I’m going with the veteran kickboxer over the impressive debuting fighter. James McSweeney by TKO in Round 3

JOHNNY NGUYEN – (3) Both men have some good skills, but I believe McSweeney is gonna win this one. James McSweeney by Decision
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CHRIS CAMOZZI [2] vs. JAMES HAMMORTREE [1]

Average Madness Level (1-10): 4

VAN DEN HAAS – (4) His horrible handle is reason enough to pick against "Sledge" Hammortree (uggh!) but with the experience and ground game of Camozzi this fight will be a lot more one-sided than the odds suggest. Chris Camozzi by Unanimous Decision

ROWLES – (4) Did you listen to The MMA Radio Show this week? If you did, you’d know who’s winning this fight. Chris Camozzi by Submission in Round 3

NGUYEN – (4) This should be an interesting fight, but I’d give the edge to James Hammortree by 1st Round KO
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JOSH BRYANT [0] vs. KYLE NOKE [3]

Average Madness Level (1-10): 5.3

VAN DEN HAAS – (5) Crikey! Noke is a former bodyguard of Steve Irwin and he was Chuck Liddell's first selection for TUF 11. How can you not pick a guy The Croc Hunter and The Iceman had faith in? I'm sold. Kyle Noke by TKO in Round 2

ROWLES – (6) Noke is the more impressive fighter, but Bryant will find a way to keep it interesting. Kyle Noke by Split Decision

NGUYEN – (5) Interesting. Stand up brawler vs jits guy. Kyle Noke by 2nd Round Submission
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SETH BACZYNSKI [1] vs. BRAD TAVARES [2]

Average Madness Level (1-10): 5.3

VAN DEN HAAS – (5) This rematch is a tough one to call but I like the experience and skill set of Baczynski. Good value for those who like to make the occasional wager. Seth Baczynski by Unanimous Decision

ROWLES – (6) These two fought on TUF 11, with Baczynski getting DQ’d for an illegal head kick to a downed opponent. Tavares is the more physically gifted athlete, but Baczynski is a warrior through and through. Should be a good fight. Brad Tavares by Unanimous Decision

NGUYEN – (5) Two stand up warriors. Sad that one has to lose. Brad Tavares by 1st Round KO
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JOHN GUNDERSON [2] vs. MARK HOLST [1]

Average Madness Level (1-10): 3

VAN DEN HAAS – (4) Guns is a huge favorite - I'm assuming it's only because Boots is a relative newcomer. Don't let the oddsmakers fool you though - this fight is a toss up. But despite my ramblings I'm sadly going small balls for the Roundtable and picking the fave...barely. John Gunderson by Unanimous Decision

ROWLES – (2) I’m going with the Canadian Muay Thai coach who wins grappling tournaments over one of my least favorite fighters -- Gunderson. When said slowly, Gunn-derr-sonn, his name just sounds like he'd be your archrival. The 2 Madness Level points are entirely for Holst. Go Boots! Mark Holst by Unanimous Decision

NGUYEN – (3) I’m gonna go with my gut on this one. John Gunderson by Decision
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PRELIMINARY BOUTS

RICH ATTONITO [2] vs. JAMIE YAGER [1]

Average Madness Level (1-10): 7

VAN DEN HAAS – (7) Richie Boom-Bats, Richie the Raging Bull, Richie No-Nose, Richie Two Times, Richie "The Guido" Attonito. This guy had a shot to be The Ultimate Fighter until the broken arm. Yager ain't as good as he thinks he is and Richie is a well-rounded fighter. Rich Attonito by Unanimous Decision

ROWLES – (8) Expect some zany offense from Fro Cop, before The Raging Bull puts him on the mat and taps out the TUF 11 heel to the delight of the crowd. Rich Attonito by Submission in Round 2

NGUYEN – (6) If Rich can take Yager’s will away, he can win this, but I don’t think he's gonna be able to handle Yager’s tenacity. Jamie Yager by Decision
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SPENCER FISHER [3] vs. DENNIS SIVER [0]

Average Madness Level (1-10): 7

VAN DEN HAAS – (8) Two skilled lightweights ready to scrap. Not the sexiest names on the marquee but expect entertainment. As for me, I'm down with "The King". Spencer Fisher by Unanimous Decision

ROWLES – (7) My pick for possible Fight of the Night winner. Expect a few oohs and aahs from the crowd in this one. Spencer Fisher by Unanimous Decision

NGUYEN – (6) Hmmm…this one is hard for me to call. Spencer is good all around. Siver has some good submissions. Spencer Fisher by 2nd Round rear naked choke
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CHRIS LEBEN [0] vs. AARON SIMPSON [3]

Average Madness Level (1-10): 6.7

VAN DEN HAAS – (6) Leben is no joke but I've got the A-train to keep rollin' all night long. Aaron Simpson by TKO in Round 3

ROWLES – (7) As much as I’d love to pick Leben, I already picked way too many underdogs on this card. I’ll secretly be rooting for Leben to KO the undefeated A-Train, but I won’t be holding my breath and can't waste another pick. Aaron Simpson by Unanimous Decision

NGUYEN – (7) I definitely know someone is going to sleep. A-TRAIN by 1st Round KO
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MATT HAMILL [3] vs. KEITH JARDINE [0]

Average Madness Level (1-10): 6.7

VAN DEN HAAS – (7) Well... who's hot who's not? Tell me who rock, who sell out in stores, you tell me who flopped, who copped the blue drop... Enough - Hamill has won 3 straight, Jardine has lost 3 in a row... ride the hot hand! Matt Hamill by TKO in Round 3

ROWLES – (8) This fight could be for nothing short of Keith Jardine’s UFC career. The Dean of Mean has lost 3 straight fights and it’d be hard for the UFC to justify keeping him around after 4 losses in a row. Hamill, meanwhile, will be looking to rebound from getting beat pillar to post by Jon “Bones” Jones in a winning effort after Jones got DQ’d for illegal elbow strikes. Jardine struggles against close-fighting opponents and Hamill is a world class wrestler, so this unfortunately might be the end of the line for the time being for Jardine in the UFC. Matt Hamill by KO in Round 2

NGUYEN – (5) Not too interested in this fight, but both fighters bring a lot to the table. Matt Hamill by 2nd Round KO
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KRIS McCRAY [1] vs. COURT McGEE [2]

Average Madness Level (1-10): 7.3

VAN DEN HAAS – (7) Two unlikely TUF McFinalists - I'm backing the well rounded McGee against the ground game of McCray. Court McGee by TKO in Round 2

ROWLES – (8) The eleventh season finale of THE ULTIMATE FIGHTER! What an incredible journey it’s been since Forrest Griffin and Stephan Bonnar altered time and space with their epic TUF 1 Finale fight. While this TUF 11 fight couldn't possibly be as epic, it features two balls-to-the-wall fighters. McGee has an incredible story rising out of the ashes of drug addiction, but I’m going with the raw athleticism of the Savage one. Kris McCray by Unanimous Decision

NGUYEN – (7) A stand up fighter vs an all around warrior. I’m gonna pick Court McGee by 3rd Round Submission
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MOST MADNESS

ERIC VAN DEN HAAS: Spencer Fisher vs. Dennis Siver

RANDY ROWLES: Matt Hamill vs. Keith Jardine

JOHNNY NGUYEN: Chris Leben vs. Aaron Simpson
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GROUPTHINK

Alternate Reality Fight Card (Ranked by Average Madness Levels)

MAIN CARD

1 - Kris McCray vs. Court McGee (7.3)

2 - Spencer Fisher vs. Dennis Siver (7)

3 - Rich Attonito vs. Jamie Yager (7)

4 - Matt Hamill vs. Keith Jardine (6.7)

5 - Chris Leben vs. Aaron Simpson (6.7)

PRELIMINARY BOUTS

6 - Seth Baczynski vs. Brad Tavares (5.3)

7 - Josh Bryant vs. Kyle Noke (5.3)

8 - Travis Browne vs. James McSweeney (4.7)

9 - Chris Camozzi vs. James Hammortree (4)

10 - John Gunderson vs. Mark Holst (3)
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CONSENSUS PICKS

James McSweeney over Travis Browne

Chris Camozzi over Seth Baczynski

Kyle Noke over Josh Bryant

Brad Tavares over James Hammortree

John Gunderson over Mark Holst

Rich Attonito over Jamie Yager

Spencer Fisher over Dennis Siver

Aaron Simpson over Chris Leben

Matt Hamill over Keith Jardine

Court McGee over Kris McCray

BELLATOR 22 RESULTS: Olympian Ben Askren Handles Dan Hornbuckle to Win Welterweight Tournament - 6/17/10

BELLATOR FIGHTING CHAMPIONSHIPS 22 was held Thursday January 17, 2010 at Fourth Street Live! in the Kansas City Power and Light District in Kansas City, Missouri. The main card aired live on Fox Sports Net.

The featured bout was the finale for the Bellator Season 2 Welterweight Tournament between Olympic wrestler Ben "Funky" Askren and Dan "The Handler" Hornbuckle. Askren went from top prospect to legitimate contender by smothering Hornbuckle with his wrestling and smashing him with his fists and knees. Hornbuckle had won 19 of his past 20 fights before running into Askren. Simply put, The Handler was handled. Askren could be competitive in the UFC right now and hopefully will be soon. Askren wrapped up $100,000 for his 3 Bellator fights, and is next in line to fight undefeated Bellator Welterweight Champion Lyman "Cyborg" Good in Bellator's upcoming third season.

"The Wild Card" Jarrod Card's fight was billed as his opportunity to earn his way into Bellator's third season Bantamweight Tournament. That dream lasted for exactly 39 seconds until Jose Vega threw a leg kick-right hand to the body-left hook combo that put Card to sleep. Bellator was kind enough to release video of this KO, see below.

The adorable and dangerous 19-year-old Stephanie "Macaquinha" Frausto, sister of equally adorable and even more dangerous Zoila "Warrior Princess" Frausto, stepped up at the last minute to fight veteran grappler Lisa Ward. The style and experience factors doomed Frausto from the beginning. Frausto is a very young striker and Ward is an accomplished grappler 8 years her elder. There was only one way this fight was going, and it was to the mat. And so it did, and in a second past two minutes, Frausto was choked unconscious. She fell asleep rather than tap. Stephanie Frausto is going to be something someday. Lisa Ward will enter Bellator's Season 3 Women's 115-Pound Tournament looking for a rematch with Megumi Fujii (20-0) who tapped Ward with an armbar in BodogFIGHT in August 2007.

BELLATOR FIGHTING CHAMPIONSHIPS XXII

Rudy Bears (11-5) won by SUB over Brian Green (19-15)
[3:29] - Round 1 - rear-naked choke

Lisa Ward (13-5) won by SUB over Stephanie Frausto (2-2)
[2:01] - Round 1 - rear-naked choke (technical)

{Welterweight Tournament Championship}
Ben Askren (6-0) won by UD over Dan Hornbuckle (21-3)
[15:00] - 3 Rounds - (30-27 all)

Jose Vega (6-3) won by KO over Jarrod Card (12-4)
[0:39] - Round 1 - punch

Raphael Davis (9-1) won by SUB over Demetrius Richards (5-3)
[2:51] - Round 1 - punches

Tyler Stinson (17-6) won by SUB over Leonardo Pecanha (12-7)
[1:42] - Round 1 - rear-naked choke

Cole Konrad (4-0) won by UD over John Orr (5-4)
[15:00] - Round 1 - (30-27 all)

Jared Downing (3-0) won by SUB over Chad Vandenberg (5-2)
[11:35] - 1:35 Round 3 - rear-naked choke

Complete MMA win-loss records with total fight time in brackets.

UD = Unanimous Decision | SUB = Submission




PIC AND VIDEO courtesy of Bellator.com

FUNNY FRIDAY PIC: Forrest Griffin New Book Cover - Be Ready When the Sh*t Goes Down: A Survival Guide to the Apocalypse


Forrest Griffin, the original Ultimate Fighter winner and former UFC Light Heavyweight Champion, has co-authored a follow-up to his New York Times Best Seller GOT FIGHT?: THE 50 ZEN PRINCIPLES OF HAND-TO-FACE COMBAT.

Thursday, June 17, 2010

INSANE UFC TUF 11 FINALE PREVIEW: Translated Betting Odds, Statistical Analysis, Madness Levels, Predictions


Go into insane detail with this preview of the UFC TUF 11 FINALE by MMAmadman Randy Rowles.

Includes breakdowns of betting odds with analysis, win-loss records, UFC wins and losses, biggest victories, fighter profiles and backgrounds, Madness Levels and Madman Predictions for every fight on the main card.

The UFC TUF 11 FINALE will be held Saturday June 19, 2010 at The Pearl at The Palms Casino Resort in Las Vegas, Nevada. The main card will air live on Spike TV starting at 9:00 pm EST.

Betting lines are for entertainment purposes only and are included here to illustrate oddsmakers' projections.

Madness Levels indicate the amount of insanity inspired in anticipation of a fight on a scale of 1 to 10, a numerical translation of just how excited I am for each fight.

Striving to be the most analytically astute fight preview column possible. Let the madness begin...

UD = Unanimous | SD = Split | MD = Majority Decision | SUB = Submission | (T)KO = (Technical)Knockout
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UFC TUF 11 FINALE

PRELIMINARY BOUTS

Heavyweight Bout

TRAVIS BROWNE (-205) = 64% chance of winning

JAMES McSWEENEY (+165) = 36% chance of winning

TRAVIS "HAPA" BROWNE (9-0)

7 wins by (T)KO | 1 win by Decision | 1 win by Submission

UNDEFEATED

Travis Browne will be making his UFC debut, and is coming off a KO win over Aaron Brink in GC (2/10).

AGE: 27   HEIGHT: 6’7”   WEIGHT: 251

FIGHTING OUT OF: Alliance Training Center in San Diego, California by way of Honolulu, Hawaii (AMERICAN)

SELF-DESCRIBED STRENGTHS: Striking, well-rounded ground game

BIGGEST BROWNE WIN: over Abe Wagner (TUF 10) by 8-second KO at VFC 30 (2/10)

JAMES “THE HAMMER” McSWEENEY (4-4)

4 wins by (T)KO

2 losses by Submission | 2 losses by TKO

James McSweeney is 1-0 in the UFC, and is coming off a win over Darrill Schoonover at the UFC TUF 10 Finale (12/09). McSweeney was a cast member on TUF 10 and holds a pro kickboxing record of 41-7.

AGE: 29   HEIGHT: 6’4”   WEIGHT: 231

FIGHTING OUT OF: Denver, Colorado by way of London, England (BRITISH)

SELF-DESCRIBED STRENGTHS: Aggressiveness, standup

UFC W: Darrill Schoonover (TKO)

BIGGEST McSWEENEY WIN: over Darrill Schoonover by TKO at the UFC TUF 10 Finale (12/09)

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 5

Travis Browne has won his last 3 fights by KO, all in less than a minute combined. 52 seconds to be exact, with a 35-second KO over veteran Aaron Brink, an 8-second KO over TUF 10’s Abe Wagner, and a 9-second KO over the debuting Brian Campbell. Browne is a giant of a man at 6’7”. The man part is what James McSweeney will be focusing on, like any man who is undefeated, Browne can be beaten. McSweeney is a malicious kickboxer who trains with some of the best fighters in the world, alongside Rashad Evans and company under Greg “Yoda” Jackson. I think McSweeney will take some abuse, but in the end walk away the injured victor.

PREDICTION: James McSweeney by TKO in Round 3
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Middleweight Bout

CHRIS CAMOZZI (-130) = 53% chance of winning

JAMES HAMMORTREE (EVEN) = 47% chance of winning

CHRIS CAMOZZI (12-3)

5 wins by Submission | 4 wins by TKO | 3 wins by Decision

2 losses by Submission | 1 loss by Decision

Chris Camozzi will be making his UFC debut, and is coming off a win over Chad Reiner in KOC (11/09). Camozzi was 1-0 in TUF 10 exhibition bouts, but had to withdraw from the tournament due to a broken jaw.

AGE: 23   HEIGHT: 6’3”   WEIGHT: 185

FIGHTING OUT OF: Lakewood, Colorado by way of Alameda, California (AMERICAN)

SELF-DESCRIBED STRENGTHS: Muay Thai, BJJ

TUF 11 W: Victor O’Donnell (UD)

BIGGEST CAMOZZI WIN: over former UFC fighter Chad Reiner by Anaconda Choke Submission at KOC: RAGE (11/09)

JAMES “THE SLEDGE” HAMMORTREE (5-1)

5 wins by (T)KO

1 loss by Submission

James Hammortree will be making his UFC debut, and is coming off a submission loss to John Salter in UEP (7/09). Hammortree was 1-2 in TUF 10 exhibition bouts. After losing in the first round, Hammortree was reentered into the tournament after Nick Ring had to withdraw due to injury, but lost in the quarterfinals.

AGE: 26   HEIGHT: 6’3”   WEIGHT: 186

FIGHTING OUT OF: Ocala and Sebring, Florida by way of Chicago, Illinois(AMERICAN)

SELF-DESCRIBED STRENGTHS: Good wrestling, strong right hand, won’t quit

TUF 11 W: Norman Paraisy (TKO)

TUF 11 L: Court McGee (SUB), Brad Tavares (UD)

BIGGEST HAMMORTREE WIN: over Tony “The Tractor” Roberts (10-6) by TKO in UEP (3/09)

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 4

Chris Camozzi was a guest on this week’s The MMA Radio Show with John Taylor and Brian Palmer. This alone has me rooting for him, but I picked this fight before I learned the TUF 11 fighter was going to be shooting the shit with Taylor and Palmer. My initial read on this fight was Camozzi’s all-around skill-set will win out over the heart of James Hammortree. Despite being 3 years younger, Camozzi has more than double the fights of Hammortree. With the exception of an extraordinary performance in a losing effort, this is a do-or-die fight. The winner fights again in the UFC, while the loser goes back to where he was before TUF 11, along with the experience and celebrity he’s acquired.

PREDICTION: Chris Camozzi by Submission in Round 3
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Middleweight Bout

KYLE NOKE (-200) = 63% chance of winning

JOSH BRYANT (+160) = 37% chance of winning

KYLE NOKE (16-4)

6 wins by TKO | 5 wins by Decision | 5 wins by Submission

2 losses by Decision | 1 loss by KO | 1 loss by Submission

Kyle Noke will be making his UFC debut, and is coming off a decision win over Kyacey Uscola in TCC (9/09). Noke was 2-1 in TUF 10 exhibition bouts and made it to the quarterfinals of the tournament.

AGE: 30   HEIGHT: 6’2”   WEIGHT: 185

FIGHTING OUT OF: Albuquerque, New Mexico by way of Brisbane, Queensland, Australia (AUSTRALIAN)

SELF-DESCRIBED STRENGTHS: Well-rounded, experience

TUF 11 W: Clayton McKinney (SUB), Warren Thompson (UD)

TUF 11 L: Kris McCray (UD)

BIGGEST NOKE WIN: over George Sotiropoulos by Decision at WR 4 (7/05)

JOSH “THE BEAST” BRYANT (10-0)

4 wins by Decision | 4 wins by Submission | 2 wins by (T)KO

UNDEFEATED

Josh Bryant will be making his UFC debut, and is coming off a KO win over Danny Valimaki at HEAT XC 4 (11/09). Bryant was 3-1 in TUF 10 exhibition bouts and made it to the semifinals of the tournament.

AGE: 30   HEIGHT: 5’10”   WEIGHT: 185

FIGHTING OUT OF: Tulsa, Oklahoma (AMERICAN)

SELF-DESCRIBED STRENGTHS: Wrestling, strong striker

TUF 11 W: Jamie Yager (TKO), Kris McCray (UD), Greg Rebello (MD)

TUF 11 L: Kris McCray (UD)

BIGGEST BRYANT WIN: over Marcus Sursa by Unanimous Decision at FCF 18 (4/08)

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 6

Josh Bryant reminds me a bit of Josh Haynes from TUF 3. He doesn’t look near as tough as he is, and wins regardless. Kyle Noke was a fighter ready to come into the UFC through the front door, by simply being booked in a fight. He didn’t need TUF 11, but it’s a hell of a platform and now he’s in the UFC with some steam behind his back. Noke is a fighter I’d like to see win and stick around in the UFC for a while. I think the stubborn Bryant will keep it close, though.

PREDICTION: Kyle Noke by Split Decision
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Middleweight Bout

BRAD TAVARES (-240) = 67% chance of winning

SETH BACZYNSKI (+190) = 33% chance of winning

BRAD TAVARES (4-0)

2 wins by TKO | 2 wins by Submission

UNDEFEATED

Brad Tavares will be making his UFC debut, and is coming off a TKO win over Jonathan Joao in X-1 (3/09). Tavares was 3-1 in TUF 10 exhibition bouts and made it to the semifinals of the tournament.

AGE: 22   HEIGHT: 6’1”   WEIGHT: 185

FIGHTING OUT OF: Las Vegas, Nevada by way of Honolulu, Hawaii (AMERICAN)

SELF-DESCRIBED STRENGTHS: Striking, toughness

TUF 11 W: Seth Baczynski (DQ), James Hammortree (UD), Jordan Smith (KO)

TUF 11 L: Court McGee (SUB)

BIGGEST TAVARES WIN: none over a fighter with a winning record

SETH “POLISH PISTOLA” BACZYNSKI (11-5)

8 wins by Submission | 3 wins by (T)KO

3 losses by Submission | 1 loss by KO | 1 loss by Decision

Seth Baczynski will be making his UFC debut, and is coming off a submission win over Tom Nguyen at WBFN 23 (10/09). Baczynski was 1-2 in TUF 10 exhibition bouts. Baczynski lost in his eliminator fight, but made it into the house as a substitution after Chris Camozzi had to withdraw from the tournament due to injury.

AGE: 28   HEIGHT: 6’3”   WEIGHT: 185

FIGHTING OUT OF: Apache Junction, Arizona by way of Kawaii, Hawaii (AMERICAN)

SELF-DESCRIBED STRENGTHS: Striking, Grappling

TUF 11 W: Joseph Henle (UD)

TUF 11 L: Brad Tavares (DQ), Court McGee (UD)

BIGGEST BACZYNSKI WIN: over James Warfield (20-6) by Flying Knee KO in EVO MMA (10/08)

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 6

These two fought in the TUF 11 tournament with the bout ending in a DQ when Seth Baczynski, in the heat of the moment scrambling up from the ground, kicked Brad Tavares in the face while Tavares was still on his knees. Tavares was knocked silly and the fight had to be called. This pro fight at a live UFC event offers Baczynski a literal shot at ultimate redemption. I’m going with the Hawaiian in this one. Wait a minute, both guys were born in Hawaii?

PREDICTION: Brad Tavares by Unanimous Decision
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Lightweight Bout

JOHN GUNDERSON (-285) = 71% chance of winning

MARK HOLST (+225) = 29% chance of winning

JOHN “GUNS” GUNDERSON (22-7)

15 wins by Submission | 5 wins by (T)KO | 2 wins by Decision

4 losses by Decision | 3 losses by Submission

John Gunderson is 0-1 in the UFC, and is coming off a loss to Rafaello “Tractor” Oliveira at UFC 108 (1/10).

AGE: 31   HEIGHT: 5’9”   WEIGHT: 155

FIGHTING OUT OF: Las Vegas, Nevada by way of Houston, Texas (AMERICAN)

SELF-DESCRIBED STRENGTHS: Well-rounded

UFC L: Rafaello “Tractor” Oliveira (UD)

BIGGEST GUNDERSON WIN: over Charles “Krazy Horse” Bennett by TKO at GC 40 (8/05)

MARK “BOOTS” HOLST (8-1)

4 wins by Submission | 4 wins by TKO

1 loss by KO

Mark Holst will be making his UFC debut, and is coming off a win over Corey Hill at XKL: EVOLUTION (3/10)

AGE: 24   HEIGHT: 6’0”   WEIGHT: 154

FIGHTING OUT OF: Ottawa, Ontario, Canada (CANADIAN)

SELF-DESCRIBED STRENGTHS: Striking

BIGGEST HOLST WIN: over Corey Hill (TUF 5) by Kimura Submission at XKL: EVOLUTION (3/10)

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 2

Mark Holst has an 11-1 Muay Thai record, but has won his past 3 MMA fights by submission, including a big win over TUF 5’s Corey Hill. Holst tapped out Hill, who is still under UFC contract but on a leave of absence to gain experience, with a kimura in the second round. So, instead of Hill coming back up to the major leagues, it’s Holst who scored a UFC contract. I am not a fan of John Gunderson. Maybe it's my memories of him as a jabroni in the IFL, but I'm not buying Gunderson as this big of a favorite here. In fact, I'm picking Boots.

PREDICTION: Mark Holst by Unanimous Decision
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MAIN TELEVISED CARD

Middleweight Bout

JAMIE YAGER (-135) = 54% chance of winning

RICH ATTONITO (+105) = 46% chance of winning

JAMIE “THE CHOSYN 1” YAGER (2-1)

2 wins by (T)KO

1 loss by DQ

Jamie Yager will be making his UFC debut, and is coming off a disqualification loss to Robert “CT” Turner at AOF 3 (6/09). Yager was 2-1 in TUF 10 exhibition bouts and made it to the quarterfinals of the tournament.

AGE: 26   HEIGHT: 6’1”   WEIGHT: 185

FIGHTING OUT OF: Kings MMA/Rafael Cordeiro Fight Center in Huntington Beach by way of Pasadena, California (AMERICAN)

SELF-DESCRIBED STRENGTHS: Standup

TUF 11 W: Charles Blanchard (TKO), Ben Stark (KO)

TUF 11 L: Josh Bryant (TKO)

BIGGEST YAGER WIN: none yet over fighter with winning record

RICH “THE RAGING BULL” ATTONITO (7-3)

3 wins by TKO | 2 wins by Decision | 2 wins by Submission

1 loss by Submission | 1 loss by TKO | 1 loss by Decision

Rich Attonito will be making his UFC debut, and is coming off a win over Gregory Babene in XC-1 (6/09). Attonito was 2-0 in TUF 10 exhibition bouts, but had to withdraw from the tournament quarterfinals due to a broken hand.

AGE: 33   HEIGHT: 5’10”   WEIGHT: 186

FIGHTING OUT OF: American Top Team in Coconut Creek, Florida by way of Elizabeth, New Jersey (AMERICAN)

SELF-DESCRIBED STRENGTHS: Wrestling, BJJ, Boxing, Strong, Good conditioning

TUF 11 W: Kyacey Uscola (DQ), Lyle Steffens (UD)

BIGGEST ATTONITO WIN: over Gregory “Blade” Babene by Unanimous Decision at XC-1 (6/09)

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 8

Yes, I'm just as excited for this fight as I am for the TUF 11 Championship fight. And yes, it’s because of Jamie Yager’s crazed antics. So, I guess they worked. Yager, like nearly everyone in the history of reality TV, claimed editing made him look bad. The saving grace for Yager is that he is an amazingly entertaining fighter. Yager may be one of the only people I’ve ever seen react with a flying kick to getting stunned with a punch. Josh Bryant popped him in the mouth in their TUF 11 exhibition bout and Yager went all kung fu flying fighter as an instinctive response. Now, that's a guy you want on your roster, assuming he doesn’t eventually go all Junie Browning. Rich Attonito is an American Top Team fighter with a Jersey accent. I think the experience and ground game of The Raging Bull will trump the spectacle of the karate kid.

PREDICTION: Rich Attonito by Submission in Round 2
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Lightweight Bout

SPENCER FISHER (-185) = 62% chance of winning

DENNIS SIVER (+155) = 38% chance of winning

SPENCER “THE KING” FISHER (23-5)

11 wins by (T)KO | 8 wins by Submission | 4 wins by Decision

3 losses by Decision | 1 loss by Submission | 1 loss by TKO

Spencer Fisher is 8-4 in the UFC, and is coming off a loss to Joe Stevenson at UFC 104 (10/09).

AGE: 34   HEIGHT: 5’7”   WEIGHT: 156

FIGHTING OUT OF: Davenport, Iowa by way of Cashiers, North Carolina (AMERICAN)

SELF-DESCRIBED STRENGTHS: Standup fighting, heart

UFC W: Caol Uno (UD), Shannon Gugerty (SUB), Jeremy Stephens (UD), Sam Stout (UD), Dan Lauzon (TKO), Matt Wiman (KO), Aaron Riley (TKO), Thiago Alves (SUB)

UFC L: Joe Stevenson (SUB), Frankie Edgar (UD), Hermes Franca (TKO), Sam Stout (SD)

BIGGEST FISHER WIN: over Thiago Alves by Triangle Choke Submission at UFC Fight Night 2 (10/05)

DENNIS SIVER (15-7)

8 wins by Submission | 5 wins by (T)KO | 2 wins by Decision

4 losses by Submission | 2 losses by Decision | 1 loss by TKO

Dennis Siver is 4-4 in the UFC, and is coming off a loss to Ross Pearson at UFC Fight Night 21 (3/10).

AGE: 31   HEIGHT: 5’7”   WEIGHT: 156

FIGHTING OUT OF: Mannheim, Germany by way of Omsk, Russia (GERMAN-RUSSIAN)

SELF-DESCRIBED STRENGTHS: Punches, takedowns

UFC W: Paul Kelly (TKO), Dale Hartt (SUB), Nate Mohr (TKO), Naoyuki Kotani (KO)

UFC L: Ross Pearson (UD), Melvin Guillard (TKO), Gray Maynard (UD), Jess Liaudin (SUB)

BIGGEST SIVER WIN: over Paul Kelly by Spinning Back Kick TKO at UFC 105 (11/09)

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 7

This one has Fight of the Night written all over it. Both guys can take a beating like Jack Bauer, and both guys love to stand and bang. Spencer Fisher is coming off a big loss to Joe Stevenson, a fight he had personally sought out by travelling to see UFC President Dana White. Stevenson handed Fisher a reality check, one that I’m sure he spent at the gym preparing to take out his frustrations on the next guy. Dennis Siver, you’re up.

PREDICTION: Spencer Fisher by Unanimous Decision
____________________________________________

Middleweight Bout

AARON SIMPSON (-350) = 75% chance of winning

CHRIS LEBEN (+290) = 25% chance of winning

AARON “A-TRAIN” SIMPSON (7-0)

6 wins by (T)KO | 1 win by Decision

UNDEFEATED

Aaron Simpson is 3-0 in the UFC, and is coming off a win over Tom Lawlor at UFC Fight Night 20 (1/10).

AGE: 35   HEIGHT: 6’0”   WEIGHT: 186

FIGHTING OUT OF: Phoenix, Arizona by way of Gunnison, Colorado (AMERICAN)

SELF-DESCRIBED STRENGTHS: World-class wrestler

UFC W: Tom Lawlor (SD), Ed Herman (TKO), Tim McKenzie (TKO)

WEC W: David Avellan (KO)

BIGGEST SIMPSON WIN: over Tom Lawlor by Split Decision at UFC Fight Night 20 (1/10)

CHRIS “THE CRIPPLER” LEBEN (19-6)

10 wins by (T)KO | 5 wins by Decision | 4 wins by Submission

3 losses by Decision | 2 losses by Submission | 1 loss by KO

Chris Leben is 9-5 in the UFC, and is coming off a win over Jay Silva at UFC Fight Night 20 (1/10).

AGE: 29   HEIGHT: 5’11”   WEIGHT: 186

FIGHTING OUT OF: Oahu, Hawaii by way of Portland, Oregon (AMERICAN)

SELF-DESCRIBED STRENGTHS: Punching power, great chin

UFC W: Jay Silva (UD), Alessio Sakara (TKO), Terry Martin (KO), Jorge Santiago (KO), Luigi Fioravanti (UD), Jorge Rivera (TKO), Edwin Dewees (SUB), Patrick Cote (SD), Jason Thacker (TKO)

WEC W: Mike Swick (KO), Brian Sleeman (SUB)

UFC L: Jake Rosholt (SUB), Michael Bisping (UD), Kalib Starnes (UD), Jason MacDonald (SUB), Anderson Silva (KO)

BIGGEST LEBEN WIN: over current Sengoku Middleweight Champion Jorge Santiago by KO at UFC Fight Night 6 (8/06)

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 7

Chris Leben is not +290 in this fight, well he is, but it’s kinda crazy, especially given how close Aaron Simpson’s last fight was with Tom Lawlor. Leben’s last fight with a serious wrestler resulted in him getting strangled by Jake Rosholt, so I do see the logic in having the gatekeeper Leben as an underdog. But, damn? +290 almost forces me to make a throwaway bet on Leben, even though I think he’s losing. I think Leben has definitely got better than a 25-percent chance of KO’ing Aaron Simpson, so there’s logic to this thought. But for prediction, I’m going with Simpson grinding out a decision win.

PREDICTION: Aaron Simpson by Unanimous Decision
____________________________________________

Light Heavyweight Bout

MATT HAMILL (-140) = 56% chance of winning

KEITH JARDINE (+120) = 44% chance of winning

MATT “THE HAMMER” HAMMIL (8-2)

6 wins by (T)KO | 1 win by Decision | 1 win by DQ

1 loss by TKO | 1 loss by Decision

Matt Hamill is 7-2 in the UFC, and is coming off a disqualification win over Jon Jones at the UFC TUF 10 Finale (12/09).

AGE: 33   HEIGHT: 6’1”   WEIGHT: 205

FIGHTING OUT OF: Utica, New York by way of Loveland, Ohio (AMERICAN)

SELF-DESCRIBED STRENGTHS: Boxing and wrestling

UFC W: Jon Jones (DQ), Mark Munoz (KO), Reese Andy (TKO), Tim Boetsch (TKO), Rex Holman (TKO), Seth Petruzelli (UD), Jesse Forbes (TKO)

UFC L: Rich Franklin (TKO), Michael Bisping (SD)

BIGGEST HAMILL WIN: over Mark Munoz by Head Kick KO at UFC 96 (3/09)

KEITH “THE DEAN OF MEAN” JARDINE (15-7)

7 wins by (T)KO | 6 wins by Decision | 2 wins by Submission

5 losses by (T)KO | 2 losses by Decision

Keith Jardine is 6-6 in the UFC, and is coming off a loss to Ryan Bader at UFC 110 (2/10).

AGE: 34   HEIGHT: 6’2”   WEIGHT: 205

FIGHTING OUT OF: Albuquerque, New Mexico by way of Butte, Montana (AMERICAN)

SELF-DESCRIBED STRENGTHS: Well-rounded, kicks

UFC W: Brandon Vera (SD), Chuck Liddell (SD), Forrest Griffin (TKO), Wilson Gouveia (UD), Mike Whitehead (UD), Kerry Schall (TKO)

UFC L: Ryan Bader (KO), Thiago Silva (TKO), Quinton Jackson (UD), Wanderlei Silva (KO), Houston Alexander (TKO), Stephan Bonnar (UD)

BIGGEST JARDINE WIN: over Forrest Griffin by TKO at UFC 66 (12/06)

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 8

Keith Jardine has lost 3 straight fights. Sticking around in the UFC with 4 straight losses is near unprecedented. The fact that he was granted 3 losses in a row shows the gratitude the UFC has towards the highly marketable Jardine, who was part of the second season of The Ultimate Fighter. The real problem is Jardine could probably lose a dozen fights in a row and he’d still be a credible challenger for the Strikeforce Light Heavyweight Championship, so the UFC might not be able to cut Jardine even with 4 losses. Strikeforce has a real shortage of 205-pound fighters and would jump at the opportunity to have the Dean of Mean on their roster.

With all the talk of Chuck Liddell needing to retire after 3 straight knockout losses, if Keith Jardine were to suffer a knockout in this fight, it would be his third straight, and fifth overall knockout in just over 3 years. Jardine’s downward spiral started with his surprise KO loss to Houston Alexander, who himself has fallen on miserable MMA times. Jardine rebounded with a huge split decision win over Chuck Liddell, but then again got knocked out, this time by Wanderlei Silva. Another split decision win, over Brandon Vera, and Jardine has now lost 3 in a row, and has suffered back-to-back knockouts.

Matt Hamill is coming off a lame win over Jon Jones, where Hamill was getting beaten to smithereens, but Jones made the mistake of striking Hamill with 12-6 downward elbows, which are illegal in the UFC. Hamill had also suffered a separated shoulder in the fight from a brutal takedown by Jones, which was actually the reason he couldn’t continue, but because of the communication barrier of Hamill being deaf, the ref ended up calling the fight for the illegal strikes. Hopefully this time there’ll be less controversy and maybe Jardine doesn’t need to get KTFO for once? Nah.

PREDICTION: Matt Hamill by KO in Round 2
____________________________________________

TUF 11 MIDDLEWEIGHT CHAMPIONSHIP

COURT McGEE (-215) = 65% chance of winning

KRIS McCRAY (+175) = 35% chance of winning

COURT “THE CRUSHER” McGEE (8-1)

3 wins by Decision | 3 wins by Submission | 2 wins by TKO

1 loss by Decision

Court McGee will be making his UFC debut, and is coming off a TKO win over Dayle Jarvis in XC (7/09). McGee was 3-1 in TUF 11 exhibition bouts. He lost to Nick Ring in the first round, but was reentered into the quarterfinals after the sassy Ring had to withdraw from the tournament due to a serious knee injury.

AGE: 25   HEIGHT: 5’11”   WEIGHT: 185

FIGHTING OUT OF: Ogden, Utah (AMERICAN)

SELF-DESCRIBED STRENGTHS: Well-rounded

TUF 11 W: Brad Tavares (SUB), James Hammortree (SUB), Seth Baczynski (UD)

TUF 11 L: Nick Ring (MD)

BIGGEST McGEE WIN: over DaMarques Johnson by Front Choke Submission in UCE (6/07)

KRIS “SAVAGE” McCRAY (5-0)

4 wins by Submission | 1 wins by TKO

UNDEFEATED

Kris McCray will be making his UFC debut, and is coming off a Shoulder Lock Submission over Marcus Ajian at BB 1 (11/09). McCray was 4-1 in TUF 11 exhibition bouts, and fought more than anyone else on the show. McCray lost to Josh Bryant in the first round, but was reentered into the tournament in an official wildcard spot that was structured into the 28-man tournament, and then beat Bryant in the semifinals to advance to this live finale.

AGE: 28   HEIGHT: 6’0”   WEIGHT: 184

FIGHTING OUT OF: Woodbridge, Virginia (AMERICAN)

SELF-DESCRIBED STRENGTHS: Wrestling, takedowns, clinch, ground and pound, body slams

TUF 11 W: Josh Bryant (UD), Kyle Noke (UD), Kyacey Uscola (SUB), Cleburn Walker (TKO)

TUF 11 L: Josh Bryant (UD)

BIGGEST McCRAY WIN: over previously undefeated Igor “The Legend” Almeida at UWC 7 (10/09)

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 8

The Ultimate Fighter 11 Championship. For me, it never gets old. Like SURVIVOR, I could watch THE ULTIMATE FIGHTER for eternity. I seem to be picking a lot of underdogs on this card, which means I may crash and burn, but I see Kris McCray’s athleticism winning out in this one over Court McGee’s determination. McCray fought a record 5 times on TUF 11, a show that is filmed in 6 weeks, so he was fighting nearly once a week. Both guys lost on the show once, only to return and make it to the finals. Which will be the TUF 11 Lazarus?

PREDICTION: Kris McCray by Unanimous Decision
____________________________________________

BY THE NUMBERS

CLOSEST FIGHT: Chris Camozzi vs. James Hammortree

BIGGEST FAVORITE: Aaron Simpson

BIGGEST UNDERDOG: Chris Leben
____________________________________________

MADMAN ALTERNATE REALITY FIGHT CARD

(Ranked by Madness Levels)

MAIN CARD

1 - Matt Hamill vs. Keith Jardine (8)

2 - Kris McCray vs. Court McGee (8)

3 - Rich Attonito vs. Jamie Yager (8)

4 - Chris Leben vs. Aaron Simpson (7)

5 - Spencer Fisher vs. Dennis Siver (7)

PRELIMINARY BOUTS

6 - Josh Bryant vs. Kyle Noke (6)

7 - Seth Baczynski vs. Brad Tavares (6)

8 - Travis Browne vs. James McSweeney (5)

9 - Chris Camozzi vs. James Hammortree (4)

10 - Mark Holst vs. John Gunderson (2)
____________________________________________

PLAYING WITH MADMAN MONEY

(+39.94 units since beginning in 10/09)

Madman Plays for UFC TUF 11 FINALE ~ 10.6 units at stake

James McSweeney (+165) ~ 2 units to win 3.3 units

Chris Camozzi (-130) ~ 2.6 units to win 2 units

Mark Holst (+225) ~ 2 units to win 4.5 units

Rich Attonito (+105) ~ 3 units to win 3.15 units

Chris Leben (+290) ~ 1 unit to win 2.9 units

STRIKEFORCE: LOS ANGELES RESULTS - Babalu Beats Robbie Lawler and Calls Out Dan Henderson - 6/16/10 Recap


STRIKEFORCE: LOS ANGELES was held Wednesday June 16, 2010 at the Nokia Theatre in Los Angeles, California in conjunction with the E3 video game conference. Strikeforce is the featured promotion in the EA SPORTS MMA video game. The main card aired live on Showtime.

The main event featured two fighters who will be playable characters in EA SPORTS MMA, as middleweight "Ruthless" Robbie Lawler squared off with light heavyweight Renato "Babalu" Sobral in a catchweight bout of 195 pounds. Strikeforce CEO Scott Coker said the winner of this fight would receive a title shot in their respective weight class.

The main event ended up going the distance in a close contest that left Renato "Babalu" Sobral the worse for wear appearance-wise, but also with his hand raised in victory for the unanimous decision. Babalu dominated the second round and Robbie Lawler come on strong in the third round. It was the first round that was the closest, and all three judges went the way of Babalu. In his post-fight interview, Babalu turned down a potential title fight with Strikeforce Light Heavyweight Champion Muhammed "King Mo" Lawal, citing the fact that the two are training partners and close friends. Babalu instead requested a rematch with Dan Henderson, who beat Sobral over a decade ago by majority decision in RINGS in Japan.

In the co-main event, former middleweight Evangelista "Cyborg" Santos dropped down to welterweight for the first time to fight DREAM Welterweight Champion Marius "The Whitemare" Zaromskis in a non-title fight. Zaromskis was coming off a big loss to Nick Diaz, which prompted him to move his training camp from London Shootfighters to American Kickboxing Academy. The change in training regiment wasn't enough to offset the strength advantage held by Cyborg.

Marius Zaromskis was getting bullied around for a few minutes by Evangelista "Cyborg" Santos, before he tried a highly-telegraphed flying knee and got popped in the face for his trouble. Zaromskis, who said he was disappointed in himself for allowing his emotions to get in his way against Diaz, once again let his emotions get in his way with a wacky move that cost him the fight. Not that Zaromskis' chances were looking all that pretty otherwise, but it certainly didn't help that he handed Cyborg the TKO on a silver platter.

Tim Kennedy needed just over three and a half minutes to choke out Trevor Prangley in a bout that may have helped to establish a contender for UFC-bound Jake Shields' soon-to-be-vacant Strikeforce Middleweight Championship. Prangley scored a couple of beautiful sweeps, but both times Kennedy used his exceptional balance to go with the flow and roll through into escapes. Kennedy is a world-class grappler and one of the stronger middleweights in Strikeforce. Kennedy is hands down the real deal. Assuming Ronaldo "Jacare" Souza can get by Joey Villasenor at STRIKEFORCE: FEDOR VS WERDUM, we might just be seeing Kennedy and Jacare fighting for the vacant 185-pound title this fall.

In the opening televised bout, KJ Noons and Conor Heun put on the Madman Fight of the Night in a highly-contested three-round war. Noons and Heun unloaded on each other for 15 minutes. By the end, Heun's face was a bloody mess, but Noons had taken quite a beating as well, particularly taking several knees to the body, one to the liver that doubled him over, and some hard body punches from Heun. I had Heun winning the fight 29-28 on the Madman Scorecard, but Tweeted that I thought Noons was probably going to win. The end result was a split decision, with two judges scoring the fight 29-28 for Noons. The other judge had all three rounds for Heun 30-27.

This is the second straight fight for Conor Heun where he's been on the losing end of an excellent fight. Heun's fight with Jorge Gurgel in Strikeforce was one of the best fights of 2009. This fight with KJ Noons will end up being one of the best fights of 2010.

All in all, a very good show from Strikeforce. Two decisions sandwiched a submission and a knockout. The opening fight was out of this world great with two hungry young fighters, while the closing fight was a solid performance by two veterans. A submission by Tim Kennedy and a TKO by Evangelista "Cyborg" Santos made for a complete midweek MMA meal.

We're just getting started this week. Thursday night is BELLATOR 22, Saturday night is the UFC TUF 11 FINALE, late Saturday night/early Sunday morning is SENGOKU 13 live from Japan, and WEC 49: VARNER VS SHALORUS is Sunday night.

STRIKEFORCE: LOS ANGELES

Renato Sobral (36-8) won by UD over Robbie Lawler (17-6)
[15:00] - 3 Rounds - (29-28 all)

Evangelista Santos (18-13) won by TKO over Marius Zaromskis (13-5)
[2:38] - Round 1 - strikes

Tim Kennedy (12-2) won by SUB over Trevor Prangley (22-6)
[3:35] - Round 1 - rear-naked choke

KJ Noons (9-2) won by SD over Conor Heun (8-4)
[15:00] - 3 Rounds - (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)

Jeremy Umphries (5-1) won by SUB over R.J. Clifford (3-2)
[7:27] - 2:27 Round 2 - rear-naked choke

Hugo Sandoval (2-2) won by TKO over Marcus Kowal (2-1)
[5:43] - 0:43 Round 2 - strikes

Complete MMA win-loss records with total fight time in brackets.

UD = Unanimous | SD = Split Decision | SUB = Submission


MADMAN AWARDS

FIGHT OF THE NIGHT: KJ Noons vs. Conor Heun

KO OF THE NIGHT: Evangelista "Cyborg" Santos (over Marius Zaromskis)

SUB OF THE NIGHT: Tim Kennedy (rear-naked choke over Trevor Prangley)

QUICKEST WIN: Evangelista "Cyborg" Santos over Marius Zaromskis in 158 seconds

BIGGEST UPSET: Evangelista "Cyborg" Santos (+170) over Marius Zaromskis

GOAT OF THE NIGHT:( Trevor Prangley

Madman Strikeforce: Los Angeles Roundtable Results

1 - ERIC VAN DEN HAAS: 3-1

2 - RANDY ROWLES: 3-1

3 - BRIAN PALMER: 2-2

4 - JOHNNY NGUYEN: 1-3

4 - JOHN TAYLOR: 1-3

CONSENSUS PICKS: 2-2

We had our first ever roundtable tie. Eric Van Den Haas and myself, Randy Rowles, tied for first with our 3-1 picks. Neither of us scored a tiebreaker point with methods/rounds of victory, and since we picked the same fighters to win and didn't have any correct methods/rounds of victory to compare, the second tiebreaker using card hierarchy could not apply. Therefore, we have no choice but to proclaim this roundtable a dual victory for Van Den Haas and myself. Luckily, we won't have to sit long together on the throne, as the UFC TUF 11 Finale is quickly approaching.

UPDATE - Van Den Haas and I have agreed to implement a third tiebreaker stage, which will be based on how close we got in predicting round of finish for our correctly predicted fights. In the main event, which went the distance, Van Den Haas predicted a third round finish, while I predicted a first round finish. Based on this, Van Den Haas wins the Roundtable.

PLAYING WITH MADMAN MONEY

MMAmadman wagered 9 units at STRIKEFORCE: LA. Here's the Payout Sheet:

Conor Heun (+330) ~ 1 unit LOST

Renato Sobral (+125) ~ 8 units WON 10 units = 18 units paid out

TOTAL PAYOUT = 18 units (+9 units)

Bringing Playing with Madman Money Bankroll to +39.94 units (since 10/09)

UPDATED STRIKEFORCE RECORDS

Strikeforce fights ONLY. Rankings according to Madman Top 25 Fighter Rankings.

Trevor Prangley (4-2-1)

Tim Kennedy (3-0)

KJ Noons (2-0)

Renato "Babalu" Sobral (2-1) #13 Ranked Light Heavyweight

Jeremy Umphries (1-0)

Hugo Sandoval (1-0)

Evangelista "Cyborg" Santos (1-1) #25 Ranked Welterweight

Robbie Lawler (1-2) #11 Ranked Middleweight

Conor Heun (1-2)

RJ Clifford (0-1)

Marcus Kowal (0-1)

Marius Zaromskis (0-2) Fell Out of Rankings

Wednesday, June 16, 2010

TACHI PALACE FIGHTS 5: STARS & STRIKES -- 7/9/10 Fight Card with Return of 'Razor' Rob McCullough and 3 Title Fights

CLICK ON POSTER FOR RESULTS


TACHI PALACE FIGHTS 5: STARS AND STRIKES -- July 9, 2010

Location: Tachi Palace Hotel and Casino in Lemoore, California

Isaac De Jesus (9-1) vs. Razor Rob McCullough (17-6)

{Welterweight Championship}
David Mitchell (10-0) vs. Poppies Tachi Kid Martinez (18-6)

John The Natural Alessio (28-13) vs. War Machine (11-3)

{Bantamweight Championship}
Cole Apache Kid Escovedo (16-4) vs. Michael Mayday McDonald (9-1)

{Lightweight Championship} - Vacant
Lenny The Godfather Lovato (9-0) vs. Gabe Godzilla Ruediger (16-5)

David Diamond Dave Kaplan (2-3) vs. Dominique Fallen Angel Robinson (4-4)

Stephen Abas (1-0) vs. Joey De La Cruz (1-0)

David King Bollea (2-0) vs. Cody Gibson (3-0)

Drew Bittner (2-0) vs. Francisco Loredo (4-5)

WEEKEND WARRIORS: Houston Alexander and Shayna Baszler Pick Up Wins - Results from the Independent Fight Scene

6/11-6/13/10 - UFC 115: LIDDELL VS FRANKLIN was the big MMA event held last weekend. Here are the non-UFC highlights from around the globe this past weekend from some of the more prominent minor league MMA events.

Former UFC light heavyweight sensation Houston "The Assassin" Alexander, who had won just 1 fight in his last 6 attempts, including losing 4 in a row in the UFC, picked up a unanimous decision win over David Griffin at UFA 1: THE CLASH AT THE COLISEUM in Charleston, South Carolina on Friday. The kicker was Griffin, a local Charleston firefighter, was making his MMA debut in the fight billed as an opportunity of a lifetime. Griffin went the distance with the UFC veteran, but wasn't able to beat him on the scorecards. Meanwhile, Alexander has a long way to go in restoring his credibility in MMA, and should really consider seeking some fights in Japan.

Former WEC fighter Anthony "Cheesesteak" Morrison, who was coming off the first back-to-back losses of his career, stopped the losing leak with a KO over Nick "The Ghost" Gonzalez at MATRIX FIGHTS 2 in the home of the world's best cheesesteaks, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania on Friday.

Team Serra fighter John Kolosci, of The Ultimate Fighter Season 6, scored an impressive 42-second submission victory over UFC veteran Luigi "The Italian Tank" Fioravanti at HCF 4: SHOWDOWN AT THE STEELYARD in Indiana. This is by far the biggest win of Kolosci's career. Fioravanti has now lost back-to-back fights, which started with a miserable performance against Pete Spratt at MFC 25 that actually got Fioravanti released from the top Canadian fight promotion. Another former Ultimate Fighter, Mark "Meat Missile" Miller, of TUF 9, also got a huge win at HCF 4. Miller had been on a 4-fight losing streak, which had him considering retirement, but the Meat Missile finally picked up a win against Charles "The One" Wilson.

At MCC 27 in Iowa, former Strikeforce fighter Zak Cummings, who had been a perfect 10-0, is now 10-2, after losing his second fight in a row, in a 5-round middleweight title fight war with Elvis "The King" Mutapcic.

The consensus #1 ranked flyweight fighter in the world, Jussier "Formiga" Da Silva, was in action this past weekend at SHOOTO BRAZIL 16. Da Silva improved his perfect record to 6-0 with a unanimous decision over Alexandre Pantoja.

FCF 42 in Oklahoma was headlined by one of the most exciting female fighters in the game, Shayna "The Queen of Spades" Baszler, who took out 17-3 Miletich fighter Adrienna "AJ" Jenkins with an armbar just over two minutes into the first round of their main event fight. FCF 42 also featured former UFC fighter Matt "The Real One" Grice, who picked up his second win since being released by the UFC after back-to-back losses in the Octagon. Grice used a guillotine choke to give Rocky McAnally the first loss of his young career. With a last name like McAnally, I can see how that guy became a fighter.

At BOTE: GRABOWSKI VS KITA in Poland, Damian "Polish Pitbull" Grabowski and Maciej "Irokez" Jewtuszko, both undefeated fighters, picked up wins in the first rounds of their headlining and co-main event fights, respectively, over Michal "Masakra" Kita and Edvardas Norkeliunas.

Nickname of the Weekend goes to Makoto "Chomolangma 1/2" Maeda, who lost his SHOOTO: GIG CENTRAL 20 fight in 37 seconds to Hirosumi "C-Bozu" Sugiura.

COMPLETE RESULTS AFTER THE BREAK

Tuesday, June 15, 2010

IMPACT FC 2: THE UPRISING SYDNEY -- 7/18/10 Australia Fight Card

CLICK ON POSTER FOR RESULTS


IMPACT FC 2: THE UPRISING SYDNEY -- July 18, 2010

Location: Sydney Entertainment Centre in Haymarket, Sydney, Australia

Pedro The Rock Rizzo (18-9) vs. Ken The World's Most Dangerous Man Shamrock (27-13)

Daniel Acacio (21-9) vs. Paul Semtex Daley (23-9)

Brad Morris (10-4) vs. Soa The Hulk Palelei (10-2)

Paulo Ely Filho (20-1) vs. Denis Kang (33-12)

Jeremy The BAMF May (7-6) vs. Murilo Ninja Rua (19-10)

Murilo Bustamante (14-7) vs. Jesse JT Money Taylor (14-6)

Peter The Chief Graham (1-4) vs. Jim Big Jim Yorke (12-4)

Marko Cro Kid Peselj (1-1) vs. Glover Teixeira (9-2)

Glenn Taylor-Smith (0-1) vs. Richie Vas Vaculik (5-1)

Shane Knockout Nix (6-2) vs. Manuel Chalate Rodriguez (5-1)

STRIKEFORCE: LOS ANGELES MADMAN ROUNDTABLE - Preview, Predictions, Discussion and Madness Levels for 6/16/10



Welcome to the Madman Roundtable for STRIKEFORCE: LOS ANGELES, to be held Wednesday June 16, 2010 at the Nokia Theatre in Los Angeles, California. The main card will air live on Showtime starting at 11:00 pm EST.

For each major MMA event, we feature a roundtable discussion of the fights, including Predictions and Madness Levels. This roundtable features madmen Randy Rowles, Eric Van Den Haas, Johnny Nguyen and Brian Palmer & John Taylor of The MMA Radio Show.

Madman Prediction Champion Eric Van Den Haas successfully defended his title in head-to-head competition at UFC 115, and will be matched up at the UFC TUF 11 Finale against Ed Stewart, who is our defending Madman Roundtable Champion, winning the UFC 115 Madman Roundtable.

Brian Palmer has won the last two Madman Strikeforce Roundtables.

Madness Levels are in parenthesis. They indicate the level of excitement a staff member has for a fight based on a scale of 1 to 10. The numbers in brackets beside the fighters' names indicate how many staff members picked the respective fighters to win.
____________________________________________

STRIKEFORCE: LOS ANGELES

MAIN CARD

CONOR HEUN [1] vs. KJ NOONS [4]

Average Madness Level (1-10): 6.4

RANDY ROWLES – (6) Heun proved his mettle in his last fight with Jorge Gurgel, even though he came out on the losing end of a decision. Heun is a late replacement in this fight for Charles "Krazy Horse" Bennett, who mysteriously withdrew from the fight, which was supposed to be a rematch of Noons' only MMA loss. Although Heun should put up a good fight, I don't think he'll be able to handle the precision and power of Noons. KJ Noons by KO in Round 2

ERIC VAN DEN HAAS – (7) Generally I'm against guys that go by initials (that sounds like some boy band shit to me) but Noons has some serious striking and Heun hasn't fought in a year. KJ Noons by TKO in Round 2

JOHNNY NGUYEN – (7) Always like watching KJ Noons kick ass. KJ Noons by 1st Round TKO

JOHN TAYLOR – (5) Nothing against Heun, but I would have rather seen the bizarro "Krazy Horse" Bennett here. Noons is a great boxer, but Heun is a solid wrestler with a great 10th Planet BJJ game. I look for Conor Heun to score the upset here with a 1st Round Submission victory

BRIAN PALMER – (7) KJ Noons is back after a long Strikeforce layoff. I see him out punching Heun for a Decision
____________________________________________

TIM KENNEDY [4] vs. TREVOR PRANGLEY [1]

Average Madness Level (1-10): 4.8

ROWLES – (4) Kennedy is an active solider in the United States Army. Prangley, I've never found to be all that exciting of a fighter. This one will likely go the distance. While I think the veteran Prangley should win, Kennedy has that dreaded x-factor, where he seems to always outperform expectations, so I'm rolling with him. Tim Kennedy by Unanimous Decision

VAN DEN HAAS – (7) Both fighters have been tearing shit up recently, and while this one could go either way, I'm giving the edge to the versatility of the up 'n' comer. Tim Kennedy by Unanimous Decision

NGUYEN – (4) This fight is kinda hard for me to pick. Another good fighter from The Pit -- Kennedy -- and another good fighter from AKA -- Prangley. Both fighters have been doing good, but I’m gonna go with Trevor Prangley by Decision

TAYLOR – (4) Both guys are solid if unspectacular. Prangley is the vet here, but Kennedy is real vet with the Armed Forces. I see Tim Kennedy getting the nod with a not-so-thrilling Decision win

PALMER – (5) I think Kennedy will win this fight by cardio. These dudes will brawl into the third where Prangley will wear out. Tim Kennedy by Decision
____________________________________________

EVANGELISTA CYBORG [0] vs. MARIUS ZAROMSKIS [5]

Average Madness Level (1-10): 7

ROWLES – (7) This will no doubt be a throwdown. Both fighters love swinging for the fences and neither is afraid to throw caution to the wind to engage. I think in the end, it'll be Evangelista “Cyborg” Santos taking a nap due to Zaromskis' unorthodox offense, likely a knee to the chin or a high kick to the forehead. Marius Zaromskis by KO in Round 3

VAN DEN HAAS – (8) Somebody is gettin' KTFO in Round 1. Methinks it'll be Santos as Zaromskis is bigger, stronger and is better technically. Marius Zaromskis by TKO in Round 1

NGUYEN – (5) Gonna be interesting to see Marius back in the cage after the fight with Nick Diaz. Cyborg is a tough man, but I’m gonna go with Marius Zaromskis by 2nd Round TKO

TAYLOR – (8) This one has stand-up brawl written all over it. Santos is rarely in a bad fight, and Zaromskis is one of the best kickboxers in the world. I see this one being a striking war where Zaromskis lands more. Marius Zaromskis by TKO Round 3

PALMER – (7) Should be a good fight with punches in bunches. Marius Zaromskis will KO Santos in Round 2
____________________________________________

ROBBIE LAWLER [3] vs. RENATO “BABALU” SOBRAL [2]

Average Madness Level (1-10): 7.6

ROWLES – (8) This is a rare number one contender fight where each guy is fighting for contention for a different title. If Lawler wins, he will fight someone, likely Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza (assuming he beats Joey Villasenor at STRIKEFORCE: FEDOR VS WERDUM), for the soon-to-be vacant Strikeforce Middleweight Championship, currently held by UFC-bound Jake Shields. If Babalu wins, he fights Muhammed “King Mo” Lawal for the Strikeforce Light Heavyweight Championship at STRIKEFORCE: HOUSTON. Big stakes. The betting lines have Lawler as a favorite, but I see Babalu easily taking this one, assuming he fights smart and doesn't try to stand and bang with Lawler, who is never out a fight and can drop you with one punch, as he showed against Melvin Manhoef at STRIKEFORCE: MIAMI. Manhoef beat the holy hell out of Lawler, until Lawler knocked him out cold with a single counter punch. I'm betting Babalu avoids this fate, and finishes with a submission on the ground where Lawler can't knock his head off. Babalu Sobral by Submission in Round 1

VAN DEN HAAS – (9) This will be a hell of a fight and a tough one to call, but I'll take the technical skills of Babalu over the intensity of Lawler. Renato Sobral by Submission in Round 3

NGUYEN – (8) Man, I’m really excited to see two guys who love to have a stand-up war. If this stays standing up, Lawler should have no problem winning this fight. If it goes to the ground, Babalu should win, but I believe it’s gonna stay standing up!!! Robbie Lawler by 1st Round KO

TAYLOR – (6) Last time we saw Babalu in the cage he was getting blasted by Gegard Mousasi. Lawler is a strong wrestler with huge striking power. Could be close, but I'm gonna go with Robbie Lawler by TKO in Round 2

PALMER – (7) Lawler seems to never fully get the respect he deserves. I see him catching Babalu with a hot one in the second round. Robbie Lawler by KO Round 2
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MOST MADNESS

RANDY ROWLES: Robbie Lawler vs. Renato “Babalu” Sobral

ERIC VAN DEN HAAS: Robbie Lawler vs. Renato “Babalu” Sobral

JOHNNY NGUYEN: Robbie Lawler vs. Renato “Babalu” Sobral

JOHN TAYLOR: Evangelista “Cyborg” Santos vs. Marius Zaromskis

BRIAN PALMER: Conor Heun vs. KJ Noons
____________________________________________

GROUPTHINK

Alternate Reality Fight Card (Ranked by Average Madness Levels)

1 - Robbie Lawler vs. Renato “Babalu” Sobral (7.6)

2 - Evangelista “Cyborg” Santos vs. Marius Zaromskis (7)

3 - Conor Heun vs. KJ Noons (6.4)

4 - Tim Kennedy vs. Trevor Prangley (4.8)
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CONSENSUS PICKS

KJ Noons by TKO over Conor Heun in Round 2

Tim Kennedy by Unanimous Decision over Trevor Prangley

Marius Zaromskis by TKO over Evangelista "Cyborg" Santos in Round 2 or 3

Robbie Lawler by KO over Renato "Babalu" Sobral in Round 2

THE MMA RADIO SHOW 5: Taylor & Palmer Recap UFC 115 with Sports Illustrated's Josh Gross, Talk TUF 11 Finale with Chris Camozzi, Joined by 2 Top 100 Prospects

John Taylor and Brian Palmer welcome SI.com's Josh Gross to The MMA Radio Show to talk this past weekend's UFC 115: LIDDELL VS FRANKLIN. The duo are also joined by The Ultimate Fighter 11 participant Chris Camozzi (pictured below), who had to withdraw from the TUF 11 tournament due to a broken jaw. Camozzi talks about his upcoming fight with James "The Sledge" Hammortree on Saturday night at the UFC TUF 11 Finale. Camozzi will be fighting for a roster spot in the UFC in the most important fight of his life.

Taylor & Palmer also interview Top 100 Prospects Dominique "Fallen Angel" Robinson and Byron Bloodworth. The veteran fighter Robinson, who's grown frustrated waiting for his well-deserved big break after years of struggling to earn a living on the independent fight scene, offers a different perspective than Bloodworth, an undefeated up-and-coming fighter who's ready to take on the world. Both guys have a lot to say, which results in a couple of excellent interviews.

A recap of UFC 115, a look forward to STRIKEFORCE: LOS ANGELES, 4 guests. All this and much more on a stacked edition of The MMA Radio Show!


INSANE STRIKEFORCE: LOS ANGELES PREVIEW - Betting Odds, Stats, Analysis, Madness Levels, Predictions and More


Go into insane detail with this preview of STRIKEFORCE: LOS ANGELES by MMAmadman Randy Rowles.

Includes breakdowns of betting odds with analysis, win-loss records, Strikeforce wins and losses, biggest victories, fighter profiles and backgrounds, Madness Levels and Madman Predictions for every fight on the main card.

STRIKEFORCE: LOS ANGELES be held Wednesday June 16, 2010 at the Nokia Theatre in Los Angeles, California. The main card will air live on Showtime starting at 11:00 pm EST.

Betting lines are for entertainment purposes only and are included here to illustrate oddsmakers' projections.

Madness Levels indicate the amount of insanity inspired in anticipation of a fight on a scale of 1 to 10, a numerical translation of just how excited I am for each fight.

Striving to be the most analytically astute fight preview column possible. Let the madness begin...

UD = Unanimous | SD = Split | MD = Majority Decision | SUB = Submission | (T)KO = (Technical)Knockout
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STRIKEFORCE: LOS ANGELES

MAIN CARD

Catchweight Bout (160 lbs)

KJ NOONS (-450) = 78% chance of winning

CONOR HEUN (+330) = 22% chance of winning

KARL JAMES “KJ” NOONS (8-2)

7 wins by (T)KO | 1 win by Decision

1 loss by KO | 1 loss by Submission

K.J. Noons is 1-0 in Strikeforce, and is coming off a win over Andre “Dida” Amado at DREAM 13 (3/10).

AGE: 27   HEIGHT: 5’11”   WEIGHT: 159.5

FIGHTING OUT OF: San Diego, California by way of Kailua-Kona, Hawaii (AMERICAN)

FIGHTING STYLE: Boxing, Sanshou, Muay Thai

STRIKEFORCE W: James Edson Berto (KO)

ELITEXC W: Yves Edwards (TKO), Nick Diaz (TKO)

DREAM W: Andre Dida (UD)

ELITEXC L: Charles “Krazy Horse” Bennett

BIGGEST NOONS WIN: over Nick Diaz by TKO due to doctor stoppage in EliteXC (11/07)

CONOR “HURRICANE” HEUN (8-3)

5 wins by Submission | 2 wins by Decision | 1 win by TKO

3 losses by Decision

Conor Heun is 1-1 in Strikeforce, and is coming off a loss to Jorge Gurgel at Strikeforce Challengers 2 (6/09).

AGE: 31   HEIGHT: 5’10”   WEIGHT: 159.5

FIGHTING OUT OF: Legends MMA in Boulder, Colorado (AMERICAN)

FIGHTING STYLE: Wrestling, Jiu-Jitsu

STRIKEFORCE W: Marlon Matias (UD)

ELITEXC W: James Edson Berto (TKO)

STRIKEFORCE L: Jorge Gurgel (UD)

BIGGEST HEUN WIN: over James Edson Berto by TKO in EliteXC (10/08)

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 6

KJ Noons is the stereotypical silver spoon prick, who happens to be an exceptionally talented striker. These two traits sometimes conflict, like when Noons’ ego lead him to get knocked the f-uck out by a mentally unstable hooligan. Nevertheless, a focused Noons could be a dangerous man in the Strikeforce lightweight division. Noons returned to MMA action after nearly 2 years away from the sport due to injuries and a botched professional boxing run. I picked Andre Dida to beat Noons at DREAM 13, but Noons won a clear unanimous decision. This time I’m getting on board the Noons train, even though I’m still not a fan, well maybe in a guilty pleasure kind of way. Even I can't deny Noons' talent. Conor Heun went toe-to-toe with Jorge Gurgel at Strikeforce Challengers 2 and lost a decision, so he'll be no pushover for Noons, and he hasn't fought in a year, so he'll be real hungry.

PREDICTION: KJ Noons by KO in Round 2
____________________________________________

Middleweight Bout

TIM KENNEDY (-130) = 53% chance of winning

TREVOR PRANGLEY (EVEN) = 47% chance of winning

TIM KENNEDY (11-2)

5 wins by Submission | 5 wins by (T)KO | 1 win by Decision

1 loss by Decision | 1 loss by TKO

Tim Kennedy is 2-0 in Strikeforce, and is coming off a win over Zak Cummings at Strikeforce Challengers 3 (9/09).

AGE: 30   HEIGHT: 6’0”   WEIGHT: 185.5

FIGHTING OUT OF: The Pit in San Luis Obispo, California by way of Fort Bragg, North Carolina (AMERICAN)

FIGHTING STYLE: Boxing, Brazilian Jiu Jitsu

STRIKEFORCE W: Zak Cummings (SUB), Nick “The Goat” Thompson (SUB)

WEC W: Mack Brewer (TKO)

BIGGEST KENNEDY WIN: over Jason “Mayhem” Miller by Decision at EC 50 (2/03)

TREVOR PRANGLEY (22-5)

9 wins by Submission | 9 wins by Decision | 4 wins by (T)KO

3 losses by Decision | 1 loss by KO | 1 loss by Submission

Trevor Prangley is 4-1-1 in Strikeforce, and is coming off a draw with Karl Amoussou at Strikeforce Challengers 6 (2/10).

AGE: 37   HEIGHT: 6’1”   WEIGHT: 185.6

FIGHTING OUT OF: American Kickboxing Academy by way of Coeur d’Alene, Idaho and Cape Town, South Africa (SOUTH AFRICAN)

FIGHTING STYLE: 2-time NCAA Division I All-American Wrestling, Boxing, BJJ, Muay Thai

STRIKEFORCE W: Anthony Ruiz (UD), Falaniko Vitale (RD), Anthony Ruiz (SUB)

UFC W: Travis Lutter (UD), Curtis Stout (SUB)

STRIKEFORCE L: Jorge Santiago (KO)

UFC L: Chael Sonnen (UD), Jeremy Horn (UD)

STRIKEFORCE D: Karl Amoussou (Technical Draw)

BIGGEST PRANGLEY WIN: over Chael Sonnen by Submission at XFA 5 (1/03)

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 4

Tim Kennedy is a soldier in the literal sense. He serves full time in the United States Army. Kennedy returned a year ago from kicking terrorist ass in Afghanistan to knock out Nick “The Goat” Thompson and choke out the previously unbeaten Zak Cummings. Although Trevor Prangley is an excellent wrestler, Kennedy competes in, and wins, Army Combatative tournaments, which feature a lot of grappling and keep him constantly training. I think Kennedy’s takedown defense will be good enough for him to be able to force the action and outpoint Trevor Prangley.

PREDICTION: Tim Kennedy by Unanimous Decision
____________________________________________

Welterweight Bout

MARIUS ZAROMSKIS (-215) = 65% chance of winning

EVANGELISTA SANTOS (+170) = 35% chance of winning

MARIUS “THE WHITEMARE” ZAROMSKIS (13-4)

10 wins by (T)KO | 1 win by decision | 1 win by Submission

3 losses by (T)KO

Marius Zaromskis is 0-1 in Strikeforce, and is coming off a loss to Nick Diaz at Strikeforce: Miami (1/10). Zaromskis is currently ranked #16 in the Madman Top 25 Welterweight Rankings.

AGE: 29   HEIGHT: 5’7”   WEIGHT: 169.5

FIGHTING OUT OF: London Shootfighters in London, England by way of Siauliai, Lithuania (LITHUANIAN)

FIGHTING STYLE: Kickboxing, Wrestling, Southpaw

DREAM W: Myung Bae (KO), Jason High (KO), Hayato “Mach” Sakurai (TKO), Seichi Ikemoto (UD)

STRIKEFORCE L: Nick Diaz (TKO)

BIGGEST ZAROMSKIS WIN: over Jason High by Head Kick KO to win DREAM Welterweight Grand Prix 2009 and become inaugural DREAM Welterweight Champion (7/09)

EVANGELISTA “CYBORG” SANTOS (17-13)

10 wins by (T)KO | 5 wins by Submission | 2 wins by Decision

8 losses by (T)KO | 4 losses by Decision | 1 loss by Submission

Evangelista Cyborg is 0-1 in Strikeforce, and is coming off a TKO win over Daniel Zarate at SAMURAI FC 2 (12/09).

AGE: 32   HEIGHT: 5’10”   WEIGHT: 171

FIGHTING OUT OF: Chute Boxe Academy in Curitiba, Brazil by way of Rondonopolis, Mato Grosso, Brazil (BRAZILIAN)

FIGHTING STYLE: Muay Thai, Black Belt in Brazilian Jiu Jitsu, Orthodox

STRIKEFORCE L: Joey Villasenor (SD)

BIGGEST CYBORG WIN: over Makoto Takimoto by Achilles Lock Submission at Sengoku 1 (3/08)

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 7

While the previous fight features an actual soldier in Tim Kennedy, this fight will feature a figurative war between Marius Zaromskis and Evangelista “Cyborg” Santos, who has a black belt in BJJ, but he uses it about like Wanderlei Silva does his, i.e. never. Cyborg is a passionate do-or-die veteran fighter who has seen his wife eclipse him in MMA starpower. Cristiane “Cyborg” Santos is the Madman’s #1 ranked women’s pound-for-pound fighter on the planet. Evangelista Cyborg has won and lost in the double digits. After suffering an elbow injury at Sengoku 5, Cyborg looked like a tired fighter in his last Strikeforce fight, with Joey Villasenor. Cyborg picked up a head kick KO in the meantime in Brazil, so hopefully we'll see the Cyborg of old in this fight with Marius Zaromskis, who is an equally balls-to-the-wall fighter. Zaromskis’ aggression is much more controlled than that of Cyborg, though, so I think this advantage of Zaromskis being the calmer and more technically precise, will be the reason why we see Zaromskis standing, and Cyborg falling.

PREDICTION: Marius Zaromskis by KO in Round 3
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Catchweight Bout (195 lbs)

ROBBIE LAWLER (-145) = 57% chance of winning

RENATO SOBRAL (+125) = 43% chance of winning

“RUTHLESS” ROBBIE LAWLER (17-5)

14 wins by (T)KO | 2 wins by Decision | 1 win by Submission

4 losses by Submission | 1 loss by KO

Robbie Lawler is 1-1 in Strikeforce, and is coming off a win over Melvin Manhoef at Strikeforce: Miami (1/10). Lawler is currently ranked #10 in the Madman Top 25 Middleweight Rankings.

AGE: 28   HEIGHT: 5’11”   WEIGHT: 195

FIGHTING OUT OF: The H.I.T. Squad in Granite City, Illinois (AMERICAN)

FIGHTING STYLE: Boxing, Submission Wrestling

STRIKEFORCE W: Melvin Manhoef (KO)

ELITEXC W: Scott Smith (TKO), Murilo “Ninja” Rua (TKO)

UFC W: Chris Lytle (UD), Tiki Ghosn (TKO), Steve Berger (TKO), Aaron Riley (UD)

STRIKEFORCE L: Jake Shields (SUB)

UFC L: Evan Tanner (SUB), Nick Diaz (KO), Pete Spratt (SUB)

BIGGEST LAWLER WIN: over Melvin Manhoef by KO at Strikeforce: Miami (1/10)

RENATO “BABALU” SOBRAL (35-8)

18 wins by Submission | 12 wins by Decision | 5 wins by (T)KO

4 losses by (T)KO | 3 losses by Decision | 1 loss by Submission

Renato “Babalu” Sobral is 1-1 in Strikeforce, and is coming off a loss to Gegard Mousasi at Strikeforce: Carano vs Cyborg (8/09). Babalu is currently ranked #22 in the Madman Top 25 Light Heavyweight Rankings.

AGE: 34   HEIGHT: 6’1”   WEIGHT: 193.5

FIGHTING OUT OF: Gracie Barra Combat Team in Costa Mesa, California by way of Rio De Janeiro, Brazil (BRAZILIAN)

FIGHTING STYLE: Black Belt in Brazilian Jiu Jitsu, Wrestling

STRIKEFORCE W: Bobby Southworth (TKO)

UFC W: David Heath (SUB), Mike Van Arsdale (SUB), Chael Sonnen (SUB), Travis Wiuff (SUB), Elvis Sinosic (UD), Maurice Smith (UD)

STRIKEFORCE L: Gegard Mousasi (TKO)

UFC L: Jason Lambert (KO), Chuck Liddell (TKO), Chuck Liddell (KO), Kevin Randleman (UD)

BIGGEST BABALU WIN: over Mauricio “Shogun” Rua by Guillotine Choke Submission in IFC (9/03)

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 8

Jake Shields, who will likely be fighting in the UFC as a welterweight, took just over 2 minutes to tap out Robbie Lawler in a 182-pound catchweight bout a year ago. Renato “Babalu” Sobral fought in the UFC and Strikeforce as a light heavyweight. This fight will be in-between, at a 195 catchweight. Babalu has always seemed a bit small for 205, even though he’s had great success, so 195 seems perfect for him. Lawler has fought as low as welterweight in the UFC, but has grown into a big middleweight, so 195 lbs is not a stretch for him. Both will return to their respective weight classes after this fight. Strikeforce CEO Scott Coker has said the winner of this fight will get a title shot, either Lawler at middleweight or Babalu at light heavyweight. I think with a shot at Strikeforce Light Heavyweight Champion Muhammed “King Mo” Lawal on the line, Babalu will fight smart and take advantage of Lawler’s submission defense, which is not up to par with the 13-year veteran of the sport and BJJ black belt Babalu. I'm (literally) betting on Lawler tapping.

PREDICTION: Babalu Sobral by Submission in Round 1
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BY THE NUMBERS

CLOSEST FIGHT: Tim Kennedy vs. Trevor Prangley

BIGGEST FAVORITE: KJ Noons

BIGGEST UNDERDOG: Conor Heun
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MADMAN ALTERNATE REALITY FIGHT CARD

(Ranked by Madness Levels)

1 - Robbie Lawler vs. Renato "Babalu" Sobral (8)

2 - Evangelista "Cyborg" Santos vs. Marius Zaromskis (7)

3 - Conor Heun vs. KJ Noons (6)

4 - Tim Kennedy vs. Trevor Prangley (4)
____________________________________________

PLAYING WITH MADMAN MONEY

(+30.94 units since beginning in 10/09)

Madman Plays for STRIKEFORCE: LOS ANGELES ~ 9 units at stake

Conor Heun (+330) ~ 1 unit to win 3.3 units

Renato "Babalu" Sobral (+125) ~ 8 units to win 10 units