STRIKEFORCE: HOUSTON will be held Saturday August 21, 2010 at the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas. The main card will air live on Showtime at 10:00 pm EST.
This preview includes betting odds, win-loss records with last 5 fights, Madness Levels and Madman Predictions for every fight on the main card. Betting lines are translated into chance-of-winning percentages.
Betting lines are for entertainment purposes only and are included here to illustrate bookmaker projections.
Madness Levels indicate the amount of insanity inspired in anticipation of a fight on a scale of 1 to 10, a numerical translation of just how excited I am for each fight.
This preview includes special guest Joshua King, who offers up his opinion and predictions with his King's Take on the fights.
Striving to be the most analytically astute fight preview column possible. Let the madness begin...
UD = Unanimous | SD = Split | MD = Majority Decision | SUB = Submission | (T)KO = (Technical)Knockout
LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPIONSHIP BOUT
MUHAMMED LAWAL (-575) = 80% chance of winning
RAFAEL CAVALCANTE (+375) = 20% chance of winning
MUHAMMED “KING MO” LAWAL (7-0)
AGE: 29 HEIGHT: 6’0” WEIGHT: 203.75
FIGHTING OUT OF: Temecula, California by way of Murfreesboro, Tennessee (AMERICAN)
LAST 5 FIGHTS (5-0)
WIN over Mike Whitehead by KO in Strikeforce: Evolution (12/09)
WIN over Mark Kerr by TKO in M-1 Global: Breakthrough (8/09)
WIN over Ryo Kawamura by UD at Sengoku 7 (3/09)
WIN over Yukiya Naito by TKO in Sengoku: No Ran 2009 (1/09)
RAFAEL “FEIJAO” CAVALCANTE (9-2)
AGE: 29 HEIGHT: 6’1” WEIGHT: 203.5
FIGHTING OUT OF: Black House / Sao Paulo, Brazil (BRAZILIAN)
1 loss by TKO | 1 loss by DQ
LAST 5 FIGHTS (4-1)
WIN over Aaron Rosa by TKO at Strikeforce Challengers 5 (11/09)
LOSS to Mike Kyle by TKO at Strikeforce: Lawler vs Shields (6/09)
WIN over Travis Galbraith by TKO at EliteXC: Unfinished Business (7/08)
WIN over Wayne Cole by TKO at EliteXC: The Return of the King (6/08)
MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 8
I picked King Mo as an underdog against Gegard Mousasi, and I’m picking him here as a favorite against Rafael Feijao. Although Mousasi is a higher ranked fighter due to his accomplishments, I actually think Feijao represents more of a threat to Muhammed Lawal. Not only does Feijao have the advantage on the feet in this fight, he trains at Black House with the likes of Anderson Silva and the Nogueira brothers, so he’s well trained for the ground, even though he hasn’t had to utilize those skills all that often due to his wicked striking ability. Lawal is an elite wrestler, one of the most accomplished to ever enter the world of MMA. I’m banking on King Mo’s wrestling, takedowns and stamina to win out in the end. Feijao has questionable stamina and will likely tire should the fight go into the championship rounds.
JOSHUA KING’S TAKE
MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 9
There is no doubt in my mind that Mo is a top five light heavyweight. He should be able to use his amazing wrestling to stifle any offense Feijao could attempt. He might get the finish, but I'll go with Mo by Decision.