Saturday, August 28, 2010

UFC 118 INSANE PREVIEW: Predictions, Betting Odds, Madness Levels, Stats, Records, Chances of Winning - 8/28/10



by MMAmadman Randy Rowles with Joshua King

UFC 118: EDGAR VS PENN 2 will be held Saturday August 28, 2010 at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. The main card will air live on PPV at 10:00 pm EST. At least 2 preliminary bouts will air live on Spike TV in the hour preceding the PPV.

This Insane Preview includes betting odds, win-loss records with last 5 fights, Madness Levels and Madman Predictions for every fight on the card. Betting lines are translated into chance-of-winning percentages.

Includes King's Take, a second opinion by Joshua King with his predictions and Madness Levels.

Betting lines are for entertainment purposes only and are included here to illustrate bookmaker projections.

Madness Levels indicate the amount of insanity inspired in anticipation of a fight on a scale of 1 to 10, a numerical translation of just how excited I am for each fight.

Striving to be the most analytically astute fight preview column possible. Let the madness begin...

UD = Unanimous | SD = Split | MD = Majority Decision | SUB = Submission | (T)KO = (Technical)Knockout
____________________________________________

UFC 118: EDGAR VS PENN 2

MAIN CARD

LIGHTWEIGHT CHAMPIONSHIP BOUT

BJ PENN (-290) = 73% chance of winning

FRANKIE EDGAR {c} (+260) = 27% chance of winning

B.J. “THE PRODIGY” PENN (15-6) (11-5 UFC)

AGE: 31   HEIGHT: 5’9”   WEIGHT: 154

FIGHTING OUT OF: Hilo, Hawaii (AMERICAN)

6 wins by (T)KO | 6 wins by Submission | 3 wins by Decision

4 losses by Decision | 2 losses by TKO

LAST 5 FIGHTS (3-2)

LOSS to Frankie Edgar by UD at UFC 112 (4/10)

WIN over Diego Sanchez by TKO at UFC 107 (12/09)

WIN over Kenny Florian by SUB at UFC 101 (8/09)

LOSS to Georges St. Pierre by TKO at UFC 94 (1/09)

WIN by TKO over Sean Sherk at UFC 84 (5/08)

FRANKIE “THE ANSWER” EDGAR (12-1) (7-1 UFC)

AGE: 28   HEIGHT: 5’6”   WEIGHT: 154

FIGHTING OUT OF: Renzo Gracie Combat Team / Toms River, New Jersey (AMERICAN)

7 wins by Decision | 3 wins by Submission | 2 wins by TKO

1 loss by Decision

LAST 5 FIGHTS (4-1)

WIN over BJ Penn by UD at UFC 112 (4/10)

WIN over Matt Veach by SUB at UFC TUF 10 Finale (12/09)

WIN over Sean Sherk by UD at UFC 98 (5/09)

WIN over Hermes Franca by UD at UFC Fight Night 14 (7/08)

LOSS to Gray Maynard by UD at UFC Fight Night 13 (4/08)

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 9

I thought BJ Penn won the first fight and I’m clearly not alone in this thinking, given this immediate rematch for Penn despite the unanimous decision for Frankie Edgar in the first fight. In Edgar/Penn 1, Penn clearly won the first 2 rounds. Rounds 3 and 4 were close, and Round 5 was clear for Edgar. FightMetric scored the fight 49-47 Penn. The MMAmadman scorecard read 48-47 Penn. I think this rematch will be much less close now that Penn is pissed and wants his belt back.

PREDICTION: BJ Penn by Submission in Round 3

KING'S TAKE

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 9

This isn't BJ penn in the middle of the desert with a sinus infection, this is the real BJ Penn.

PREDICTION: BJ Penn by Submission, Round 2
____________________________________________

Heavyweight Bout

RANDY COUTURE (-600) = 84% chance of winning

JAMES TONEY (+500) = 16% chance of winning

RANDY “THE NATURAL” COUTURE (18-10) (15-7 UFC)

AGE: 47   HEIGHT: 6’2”   WEIGHT: 220

FIGHTING OUT OF: Xtreme Couture / Las Vegas, Nevada by way of Everett, Washington (AMERICAN)

8 wins by Decision | 7 wins by TKO | 3 wins by Submission

5 losses by (T)KO | 4 losses by Submission | 1 loss by Decision

LAST 5 FIGHTS (3-2)

WIN over Mark Coleman by SUB at UFC 109 (2/10)

WIN over Brandon Vera by UD at UFC 105 (11/09)

LOSS to Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira by UD at UFC 102 (8/09)

LOSS to Brock Lesnar by TKO at UFC 91 (11/08)

WIN over Gabriel Gonzaga by TKO at UFC 74 (8/07)

JAMES “LIGHTS OUT” TONEY (0-0) (72-6 Pro Boxing)

AGE: 42   HEIGHT: 5’9”   WEIGHT: 237

FIGHTING OUT OF: Sherman Oaks, California by way of Grand Rapids, Michigan (AMERICAN)

Pro Boxing

44 wins by (T)KO | 28 wins by Decision

6 losses by Decision

LAST 5 BOXING MATCHES (3-1-1)

WIN over Matthew Greer by KO (9/09)

WIN over Fres Oquendo (32-6) by SD (12/08)

No Contest with Hasim Rahman (48-7) (7/08)

WIN over Danny Batchelder by SD (5/07)

LOSS to Samuel Peter (34-3) by UD (1/07)

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 10

Here we go, baby! I’m super psyched for this “freakshow” fight. James Toney has been talking some mad shit, so now it’s time to back it up, or be exposed for the rube he is. Toney is freaky shaped and has an unorthodox style, so it’s possible he could give Couture a bit of a struggle, but Couture will not be looking to entertain in this fight. He’ll be looking to win, and quickly. Couture getting KTFO by Toney and his subtitles would be the most jaw-dropping moment of 2010 hands down, hell, this fight going to the second round would be beyond shocking. It should be over fairly quickly one way or another, likely with Couture hitting a double leg takedown and pounding out the boxer in a foreign land, or making him tap, like you gotta know deep down in Couture really, really wants.

PREDICTION: Randy Couture by TKO in Round 1

KING'S TAKE

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 10

Randy Couture by Kimura, Armbar, or RNC.

PREDICTION: Randy Couture by Submission, Round 1
____________________________________________

Friday, August 27, 2010

EVIL ERIC vs UFC 118: Predictions and Madness Levels for 8/28/10 in Boston


UFC 118: EDGAR VS PENN 2

by Eric Van Den Haas, Prediction Specialist...and Evil

Evil Eric speak 'em...

MAIN PPV CARD

{LIGHTWEIGHT CHAMPIONSHIP BOUT}

FRANKIE EDGAR {c} vs BJ PENN

Madness Level (1-10): 9

A rematch was a given as soon as Edgar was declared champion. The oddsmakes don't think he's capable of another upset and neither do I. When Penn is prepared and motivated he's almost unbeatable. The Prodigy will reclaim his title.

PREDICTION: BJ Penn by Submission in Round 3
____________________________________________

Heavyweight Bout

RANDY COUTURE vs JAMES TONEY

Madness Level (1-10): 7

I'd be looking forward to this fight a lot more if both fighters were in their prime. Couture is in incredible shape considering his age - Toney, not so much. This won't last long and it won't be close.

PREDICTION: Randy Couture by Submission in Round 1
____________________________________________

Lightweight No. 1 Contender Bout

KENNY FLORIAN vs GRAY MAYNARD

Madness Level (1-10): 8

Tough to bet against The Bully as he has yet to lose but Florian's only defeats at lightweight have come in title shots. In a close call I'll take... KenFlo (uggh!).

PREDICTION: Kenny Florian by Unanimous Decision
____________________________________________

Middleweight Bout

DEMIAN MAIA vs MARIO MIRANDA

Madness Level (1-10): 6

Maia takes it to the mat where Miranda can't compete.

PREDICTION: Demian Maia by Submission in Round 2
____________________________________________

Welterweight Bout

MARCUS DAVIS vs NATE DIAZ

Madness Level (1-10): 7

I've always been a fan of The Irish Hand Grenade but he's past his prime and Diaz presents a plethora of problems for him. Davis will battle as always but it won't be enough.

PREDICTION: Nate Diaz by Submission in Round 3
____________________________________________

UFC PRELIMS LIVE ON SPIKE TV

Lightweight Bout

JOE LAUZON vs GABE RUEDIGER

Madness Level (1-10): 6

TUF 5 alum set to battle after Terry Etim had to withdraw. J-Lau often gets Fight or Sub of the Night honours and it's certainly a possibility here at home against Godzilla.

PREDICTION: Joe Lauzon by Submission in Round 2
____________________________________________

Lightweight Bout

NIK LENTZ vs ANDRE WINNER

Madness Level (1-10): 6

Tough bout to call between two fairly evenly-matched fighters but I'd give a slight nod to Andre in terms of striking - that may very well be the difference.

PREDICTION: Andre Winner by Unanimous Decision
____________________________________________

UNDERCARD

Middleweight Bout

DAN MILLER vs JOHN SALTER

Madness Level (1-10): 5

Miller may be fighting for his UFC-life as he's dropped his last 3 bouts (though against serious comp) and will prove to be a more than worthy fill-in for the New York Bad Ass.

PREDICTION: Dan Miller by Submission in Round 1
____________________________________________

Welterweight Bout

NICK OSIPCZAK vs GREG SOTO

Madness Level (1-10): 6

Each fighter suffered their first loss last time out and another L may mean a pink slip. Me thinks it be Soto on the outs. Expect Slick Nick to treat him like a prostitute.

PREDICTION: Nick Osipczak by TKO in Round 3
____________________________________________

Welterweight Bout

AMILCAR ALVES vs. MIKE PIERCE

Madness Level (1-10): 3

Look for UFC vet Pierce to give Alves a rude welcome to the Octagon and grind out another decision.

PREDICTION: Mike Pierce by Unanimous Decision

BELLATOR 26 RESULTS: Alexey Oleinik, Jose Vega and Lisa Ward Advance - 8/26/10


BELLATOR FIGHTING CHAMPIONSHIPS XXVI was held Thursday August 26, 2010 at the Kansas City Power and Light District in Kansas City, Missouri.

In the main event, Russian Alexey Oleinik became the final big man to advance to the semifinals of the inaugural Bellator Heavyweight Tournament. Oleinik outpointed Mike "300" Hayes for a split decision victory. Oleinik will now fight Neil Grove at BELLATOR 29 on September 16. This fight will take place the same night as the other heavyweight semifinal bout between undefeated fighters Damian Grabowski and Cole Konrad.

In the co-main event, Jose Vega won a fight that was also close, but resulted in a unanimous decision verdict on the judges' scorecards. Vega picked up his second win over Danny Tims, who was a slight favorite going into this rematch.

Lisa Ward became the final female to advance to the semifinals of the Women's 115-Pound Tournament. Ward joins Jessica Aguilar, Zoila Frausto and Megumi Fujii as the first female semifinalists in Bellator history.

In the opening televised fight, Iraq War veteran Steve Carl scored a come-from-behind submission win over Tyler "The Evolution" Stinson in a non-tournament bout. In an untelevised fight, Zak Cummings rebounded from back-to-back losses with a quick submission win over Rudy Bears.

BELLATOR FIGHTING CHAMPIONSHIPS 26

[Heavyweight Tournament Quarterfinal Bout]
Alexey Oleinik (28-5) won by SD over Mike Hayes (12-4)
[15:00] - 3 Rounds - (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)

[Bantamweight Tournament Quarterfinal Bout]
Jose Vega (9-3) won by UD over Danny Tims (9-3)
[15:00] - 3 Rounds - (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

[Women's 115-Pound Tournament Quarterfinal Bout]
Lisa Ward (14-5) won by UD over Aisling Daly (9-1)
[15:00] - 3 Rounds - (30-27 all)

Steve Carl (11-2) won by SUB over Tyler Stinson (18-7)
[2:30] - Round 1 - guillotine choke (technical)

Zak Cummings (11-2) won by SUB over Rudy Bears (11-6)
[1:27] - Round 1 - Brabo choke

Kevin Croom (2-1) won by SUB over Brian Davidson (5-3)
[8:22] - 3:22 Round 2 - rear-naked choke

John Ott (6-7) won by UD over Brian Imes (5-5)
[15:00] - 3 Rounds - (30-27 all)

Jeb Chiles (6-1) won by SUB over Demetrius Richards (5-5)
[8:51] - 3:51 Round 2 - kimura (technical)

Complete MMA win-loss records with total fight time in brackets.

UD = Unanimous | SD = Split Decision | SUB = Submission


MADMAN AWARDS

FIGHT OF THE NIGHT: Jose Vega vs. Danny Tims

SUB OF THE NIGHT: Steve Carl (guillotine choke) over Tyler Stinson

QUICKEST WIN: Zak Cummings over Rudy Bears in 87 seconds

BIGGEST UPSET: Steve Carl (+125) over Tyler Stinson

BIGGEST WINNER:) Lisa Ward

BIGGEST LOSER:( Tyler Stinson

Madman Bellator 26 Predictions Results: 3-2

PLAYING WITH MADMAN MONEY

MMAmadman wagered 4 units at Bellator 26. Here's the Payout Sheet:

Mike Hayes (+130) ~ 2 units LOST

Steve Carl (+125) ~ 2 units WON 2.5 units = 4.5 units paid out

TOTAL PAYOUT = 4.5 units (+0.5 units)

Bringing Playing with Madman Money Bankroll to +39.31 units (since 10/09)

Thursday, August 26, 2010

BELLATOR 26 PREVIEW: Predictions, Betting Odds, Weigh-In Results for 8/26/10


by MMAmadman Randy Rowles

BELLATOR FIGHTING CHAMPIONSHIPS 26 will be held Thursday August 26, 2010 at the Kansas City Power and Light District in Kansas City, Missouri. The main card will air live on Fox Sports Net at 8:00 pm EST.

This preview includes betting odds, win-loss records with stat breakdowns, Madness Levels and Madman Predictions. Betting lines are translated into chance-of-winning percentages.

Betting lines are for entertainment purposes only and are included here to illustrate bookmaker projections.

Madness Levels indicate the amount of insanity inspired in anticipation of a fight on a scale of 1 to 10, a numerical translation of just how excited I am for each fight.

Striving to be the most analytically astute fight preview column possible. Let the madness begin...

UD = Unanimous | SD = Split | MD = Majority Decision | SUB = Submission | (T)KO = (Technical)Knockout
____________________________________________


BELLATOR FIGHTING CHAMPIONSHIPS 26

MAIN CARD

Heavyweight Tournament Quarterfinal Bout

ALEXEY OLEINIK (-150) = 58% chance of winning

MIKE HAYES (+130) = 42% chance of winning

ALEXEY OLEINIK (27-5)

WEIGHT: 230

23 wins by Submission | 2 wins by Decision | 1 win by TKO

2 losses by Decision | 2 losses by Submission | 1 loss by TKO

MIKE “300” HAYES (12-3)

WEIGHT: 238

5 wins by (T)KO | 4 wins by Decision | 3 wins by Submission

3 losses by Decision

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 7

Mike Hayes is one of my favorite fighters not currently in the big leagues. He’s a bully of a big man and I believe he’s up to the challenge of dealing with this tough Russian bastard Alexey Oleinik.

PREDICTION: Mike Hayes by TKO
____________________________________________

Bantamweight Tournament Quarterfinal Bout

DANNY TIMS (-120) = 52% chance of winning

JOSE VEGA (EVEN) = 48% chance of winning

DANNY TIMS (9-2)

WEIGHT: 135.5

8 wins by Submission | 1 win by Decision

1 loss by Decision | 1 loss by Submission

JOSE VEGA (8-3)

WEIGHT: 134.75

7 wins by Submission | 1 win by KO

2 losses by Submission | 1 loss by Decision

MADNESS LEVEL (1-10): 6

This is a rematch from August 2008, where Jose Vega scored a submission win over Danny Tims in the finals of a one-night 8-man IFC tournament at Sturgis. I think Sims ties up the series in a close fight here to advance in the Bellator tournament.

PREDICTION: Danny Tims by Split Decision
____________________________________________

Wednesday, August 25, 2010

BAMMA 4: REID VS WATSON Poster and Fight Card for 9/25/10 in England

CLICK ON POSTER FOR RESULTS


BAMMA 4: REID VS WATSON -- September 25, 2010

Location: National Indoor Arena in Birmingham, England

{Middleweight Championship}
Tom Kong Watson (12-4) vs. Alex Reidernater Reid (8-8)

John The White Mike Tyson Phillips (12-3) vs. James The Messenger Zikic (18-5)

Eugene Sniper Fadiora (9-0) vs. Gunnar Nelson (7-0)

Marco Santi (5-2) vs. Simeon The Grin Thoresen (12-1)

Tim Super Human Newman (9-1) vs. AJ Wenn (3-3)

Stuart Davies (6-7) vs. Scott Jansen (5-8)

Harvey Harra (5-4) vs. David One More Round (3-3)

Sam Elsdon (1-1) vs. Charlie Leary (1-0)

Tom Breese (0-0) vs. Shahid Hussain (1-3)

Robert Devanne (2-1) vs. Colin Lewis (0-1)

Monday, August 23, 2010

SHINE FIGHTS 3: LIGHTWEIGHT GRAND PRIX - 9/10/10 Fight Card in Oklahoma

CLICK ON POSTER FOR RESULTS


SHINE 3: LIGHTWEIGHT GRAND PRIX -- September 10, 2010

Location: First Council Casino in Newkirk, Oklahoma

Broadcast: PPV

ONE-NIGHT 8-MAN TOURNAMENT

Charles Krazy Horse/Kid Khaos Bennett (23-17) vs. Drew Night Rider Fickett (37-13)

Kyle Alley Cat Baker (8-4) vs. James The Unbreakable Heavy Hitter Warfield (21-6)

Rich Cleat Crunkilton (16-3) vs. Carlo Neo Prater (24-7)

Dennis The Menace Bermudez (6-0) vs. Shannon Gugerty (12-5)

[Reserve Bout]
Charlie Hollywood Brown (9-2) vs. Brian Vicious Van Hoven (6-1)

SENGOKU 14 RESULTS: Jorge Santiago and Kazuo Misaki Paint a Masterpiece Fight of the Year Candidate in Main Event - 8/22/10


SRC 14 was held August 22, 2010 at the Ryogoku Kokugikan in Tokyo, Japan. The event aired live on HDNet.

SENGOKU RAIDEN CHAMPIONSHIP 14

Jorge Santiago (23-8) won by TKO over Kazuo Misaki (22-11)
[24:31] - 4:31 Round 5 - corner stoppage

Jadamba Narantungalag (3-2) won by UD over Akihiro Gono (32-16)
[15:00] - 3 Rounds - (30-29, 30-28, 30-28)

Hatsu Hioki (22-4) won by SUB over Jeff Lawson (14-4)
[2:09] - Round 1 - triangle choke

Leonardo Santos (8-3) won by DQ over Sotaro Yamada (6-5)
[3:56] - Round 1 - knees to the groin

[Welterweight Grand Prix Quarterfinal]
Taisuke Okuno (10-4) won by KO over Nick Thompson (38-13)
[10:27] - 0:27 Round 3 - punch

[Welterweight Grand Prix Quarterfinal]
Yasubey Enomoto (5-1) won by SUB over Kenta Takagi (6-3)
[5:53] - 0:53 Round 2 - bulldog choke

[Welterweight Grand Prix Reserve Bout]
Takuya Sato (6-3) won by UD over Motoki Miyazawa (6-3)
[15:00] - 3 Rounds

[SRC Asia Bantamweight Tournament Quarterfinal]
Shintaro Ishiwatari (9-3) won by SUB over Kil Woo Lee (1-2)
[2:20] - Round 1 - guillotine choke

[SRC Asia Bantamweight Tournament Quarterfinal]
Shoko Sato (9-3) won by TKO over Takuya Eizumi (7-6)
[6:38] - 1:38 Round 2 - doctor stoppage

[SRC Asia Bantamweight Tournament Quarterfinal]
Wataru Takahashi (12-13) won by SUB over Tatsuya So (6-5)
[9:34] - 4:34 Round 2 - rear-naked choke

[SRC Asia Bantamweight Tournament Quarterfinal]
Jae Hyun So (6-8) won by UD over Hirokazu Nishimura (4-4)
[10:00] - 2 Rounds

Complete MMA win-loss records with total fight time in brackets.

UD = Unanimous Decision | SUB = Submission | DQ = Disqualification


MADMAN AWARDS

FIGHT OF THE NIGHT: Jorge Santiago vs. Kazuo Misaki

KO OF THE NIGHT: Taisuke Okuno over Nick Thompson

SUB OF THE NIGHT: Hatsu Hioki (triangle choke) over Jeff Lawson

QUICKEST WIN: Hatsu Hioki over Jeff Lawson in 129 seconds

BIGGEST UPSET: Jadamba Narantungalag (+575) over Akihiro Gono

BIGGEST WINNER:) Jadamba Narantungalag

BIGGEST LOSER:( Kazuo Misaki

Sunday, August 22, 2010

STRIKEFORCE: HOUSTON RESULTS - Brazilians Feijao and Jacare Win Titles, Chad Griggs Bests Bobby Lashley - 8/21/10

Rafael Feijao - Pic by Sherdog
STRIKEFORCE: HOUSTON was held Saturday August 21, 2010 at the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas. Two title fights headlined the event. Brazilian teammates Rafael “Feijao” Cavalcante and Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza both captured Strikeforce gold with victories over Americans Muhammed “King Mo” Lawal and Tim Kennedy, respectively.

In the main event, Muhammed “King Mo” Lawal lost the Strikeforce Light Heavyweight Championship in his first title defense. Rafael “Feijao” Cavalcante managed to fend off King Mo's wrestling for the most part, while landing much heavier hands. After splitting the first two rounds, a firefight broke out in the third round. Lawal put himself at risk by throwing several big body shots in a row, and Feijao countered with a couple of hard knees which staggered Mo. Dazed and confused, Lawal instinctively scrambled for a takedown. As Lawal held onto a single leg with Feijao up against the cage, Feijao began landing huge elbow shots to the side of Lawal's head. Although he didn't go unconscious, Lawal was done as done, and the ref stepped in to stop the fight. Feijao dropped to his knees in elation.

The co-main event featured a fight for the vacant Strikeforce Middleweight Championship, which was stripped of Jake Shields before he left the company to sign with the UFC. Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza and Tim Kennedy fought for 5 close rounds, with Kennedy edging out Jacare in total strikes, but not in effective strikes. Kennedy also scored 3 takedowns to none for Jacare; so on paper the victory appeared to be going to Kennedy. Alas, in the eyes of the judges, Jacare was awarded the unanimous decision. As far as bad decisions go in MMA, this one wasn't all that bad. It was a close fight and Kennedy definitely looked the worse for wear afterward.

Tim Kennedy - Pic by Sherdog