Saturday, December 4, 2010

UFC TUF 12 FINALE INSANE PREVIEW: The Ultimate Fighter Predictions, Roundtable Analysis, Betting Odds, Weigh-In Results



UFC: THE ULTIMATE FIGHTER 12 FINALE will be held Saturday December 4, 2010 at The Pearl at The Palms Casino Resort in Las Vegas, Nevada. The main card will air live on Spike TV in North America starting at 9:00 PM EST.

This Insane Preview features all the pertinent stats – betting lines translated into projected chance of winning percentages and monetary ratios, MMA, UFC, WEC and TUF 12 win-loss records, last 5 fights for each fighter, official weigh-in results – as well as Sherdog Fight Finder links, Madness Levels, Roundtable discussion and Predictions for every single fight on the card!

Roundtable participants are MMAmadman Randy Rowles, “Evil” Eric Van Den Haas, “Mad” Mat ParĂ© (@The_Pinch), Joshua King (@Anon991), “Mad Money” Mike Almeida and Johnny Nguyen.

Madness Levels indicate the amount of insanity inspired in anticipation of a fight on a scale of 1 to 10, a numerical translation of just how excited we are for each fight.

Mike Almeida is our defending Madman Roundtable Champion.

Striving to be the most analytically astute fight preview column possible. Let the madness begin...

UD = Unanimous | SD = Split | MD = Majority Decision | SUB = Submission | (T)KO = (Technical)Knockout
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UFC TUF 12 FINALE

MAIN CARD

{TUF 12 LIGHTWEIGHT CHAMPIONSHIP BOUT}

JONATHAN BROOKINS
(-260) = projected 70% chance of winning = $2.60 bet wins $1

MICHAEL “THE MENACE” JOHNSON
(+220) = projected 30% chance of winning = $1 bet wins $2.20

JONATHAN BROOKINS: 11-3 (UFC Debut | 0-1 WEC) – Weight: 154

TUF 12 EXHIBITION BOUTS (4-0)

WIN over Kyle Watson by UD in Semifinals

WIN over Sako Chivitchian by SUB in Quarterfinals

WIN over Sevak Magakian by SUB in First Round

WIN over Ran Weathers by UD in Elimination Round

LAST 5 PRO FIGHTS (4-1)

WIN over Yosdenis Cadeno (4-2) by UD in G-Force Fights (2/10)

WIN over Luis Palomino (14-6) by SUB in G-Force Fights (9/09)

WIN over Stephen Ledbetter (7-3) by SUB at Bellator 1 (4/09)

LOSS to Jose Aldo by TKO at WEC 36 (11/08)

WIN over Jose Santibanez (9-3) by SUB in SCP (7/08)

MICHAEL JOHNSON: 8-4 (UFC Debut) – Weight: 156

TUF 12 EXHIBITION BOUTS (4-0)

WIN over Nam Phan by SD in Semifinals

WIN over Alex “Bruce Leeroy” Caceres by UD in Quarterfinals

WIN over Aaron Wilkinson by SUB in First Round

WIN over Pablo Garza by UD in Elimination Round

LAST 5 PRO FIGHTS (4-1)

WIN over Chris McDaniel (12-14) by TKO in FM Productions (1/10)

WIN over Ramiro Hernandez (5-2) by UD at TFC 15 (12/09)

WIN over Aaron Derrow (3-2) by TKO at XCF 10 (10/09)

LOSS to Eric Marriott (19-5) by SUB in FM Productions (5/09)

WIN over Clay French (18-6) by SUB in FFC (4/09)

Average Madness Level (1-10): 5.8

MMAMADMAN - (8) Although Jonathan Brookins doesn’t look like a world-beater, the blonde-haired, soft-spoken Zen practitioner is a legit fighting phenom. Brookins seems to be a more natural featherweight; he’s fought once in the WEC at 145-pounds, losing to current UFC Featherweight Champion Jose Aldo via TKO. After his lone WEC appearance, Brookins went on to win 3 fights, one in Bellator and one over veteran fighter Luis “Baboon” Palomino, before becoming a cast member on The Ultimate Fighter 12. Bellator accused the UFC of stealing away Brookins, who was definitely the most sought-after fighter coming into TUF 12 along with Nam Phan. Michael Johnson finally landed a spot on TUF 12 after trying for years to get onto the show. At the beginning of the show, Johnson was my pick to win. I expected he would be in the finals with either Brookins or Phan, so I do believe the right guys are fighting for the TUF 12 Championship. Now it comes down to whether or not I want to abandon my Johnson pick for Brookins, who after watching the show seems destined for greatness. I think Johnson is going to have a solid career in the UFC, too, and I may regret this, but Brookins by Unanimous Decision

EVIL ERIC - (8) Impossible not to root for Brookins against anyone. Surely one of the nicest guys the show has ever seen, he's also got some serious skills. A lot of victories in his young career have come via submission and that's the Achilles' heel of The Menace. Brookins by Submission in Round 3

MAD MAT - (7) I would have preferred Nam Phan vs Brookins here, and we almost got to see that since Johnson eked out a split decision. I think, like everyone, that Brookins is the real deal and the next Ultimate Fighter. Not sure how he will fare against Johnson's wrestling, but he will win this. Brookins by Decision (hoping for a submission)

JOSH KING - (2) I didn't watch any TUF this year. I feel it's passed its days of creating legitimate contenders in the UFC. I hear Brookins is the pick here though. Brookins by Decision

MAD MONEY MIKE - (6) Hmm, who to take, the arrogant thug or the silent killer? I'm calling Brookins by Decision for what will be an outstanding match-up.

JOHNNY NGUYEN - (4) Not really excited to watch this fight and kinda odd that it's the headliner, but I'm gonna go with Brookins by RNC Submission in the 1st rd

PICKS: JONATHAN BROOKINS [6] - MICHAEL JOHNSON [0]
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Light Heavyweight Bout

STEPHAN “AMERICAN PSYCHO” BONNAR
(-210) = projected 66% chance of winning = $2.10 bet wins $1

IGOR “THE DUKE” POKRAJAC
(+190) = projected 34% chance of winning = $1 bet wins $1.90

STEPHAN BONNAR: 12-7 (6-6 UFC) – Weight: 205

LAST 5 FIGHTS (2-3)

WIN over Krzysztof Soszynski by TKO at UFC 116 (7/10)

LOSS to Krzysztof Soszynski by TKO at UFC 110 (2/10)

LOSS to Mark Coleman by UD at UFC 100 (7/09)

LOSS to Jon Jones by UD at UFC 94 (1/09)

WIN over Eric Schafer by TKO at UFC 77 (10/07)

IGOR POKRAJAC: 22-7 (1-2 UFC) – Weight: 205

LAST 5 FIGHTS (3-2)

WIN over James Irvin by SUB at UFC on Versus 2 (8/10)

LOSS to James Te Huna by TKO at UFC 110 (2/10)

LOSS to Vladimir Matyushenko by UD at UFC 103 (9/09)

WIN over Kalvis Gebauers (2-5) by TKO at WFC 8 (4/09)

WIN over Roderik Jambor (0-2) by TKO at Obracun Ringu 9 (3/09)

Average Madness Level (1-10): 5

MMAMADMAN - (5) This is one of the most obvious squash matches in UFC history. Stephan Bonnar is one of the UFC’s golden boys, and he’s fallen on rough times recently. Igor Pokrajac was a loss to James Irvin away from never fighting in the Octagon again. After starting 0-2 in the UFC, Pokrajac was fed to Irvin, to get The Sandman back on track, but instead Pokrajac played the spoiler and it was Irvin who got axed from the UFC. Pokrajac will once again be looking for an upset victory to save his job, but unlike the bumbling Irvin, Bonnar, who looked like a million bucks at the weigh-ins, isn’t going to be slipping. Zbogom, Pokrajac (that's goodbye in Croatian). Bonnar by TKO in Round 2

EVIL ERIC - (7) In terms of names, it ain't the greatest headliner, but the potential for a bloodbath makes the bout somewhat appealing. Pokrajac, best known perhaps for being a training partner of Cro Cop, won his first UFC match last time out against The Sandman. American Psycho has struggled recently against elite competition but Pokrajac isn't exactly elite. Bonnar by Submission in Round 2

MAD MAT - (5) I don't see how this is a co-main event. I woulda put Maia-Grove before this fight. Igor is a good match-up for Bonnar, in the he can actually win this and is rightfully the favorite. He's taller, bigger and hungrier. If Igor is really tough, he'll last 3 rounds. Bonnar by Decision (+189 prop bet)

JOSH KING - (4) Bonnar by Decision

MAD MONEY MIKE - (3) I'll say it again, some of these fighters have the best agents in the game. Not sure who's representing Bonnar, either the mob or Jerry McGuire; my question is "why are they keeping this bum?" and of all things a co-main event??? I'm going in blind with this one, I have never seen Pokrajac fight, but hopefully he will send Bonnar packing. Pokrajac by Decision

JOHNNY NGUYEN - (6) I expect nothing less than a slugfest from this one and should be a great, entertaining fight. Bonnar by 1st rd TKO

PICKS: STEPHAN BONNAR [5] - IGOR POKRAJAC [1]
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Friday, December 3, 2010

INSANE STRIKEFORCE PREVIEW: Henderson vs Babalu 2 Predictions, Roundtable Analysis, Betting Odds, Weigh-In Results



STRIKEFORCE: HENDERSON VS BABALU 2 will be held Saturday December 4, 2010 at the Scottrade Center in St. Louis, Missouri. The main card will air live on Showtime starting at 10:00 PM EST.

This Insane Preview features all the pertinent stats – betting lines translated into projected chance of winning percentages and monetary ratios, MMA and Strikeforce win-loss records, last 5 fights for each fighter, official weigh-in results – as well as Sherdog Fight Finder links, Madness Levels, Roundtable discussion and Predictions for every fight on the main card.

Roundtable participants are Randy Rowles (MMAmadman), “Mad” Mat ParĂ© (@The_Pinch), “Evil” Eric Van Den Haas, Joshua King (@Anon991) and Johnny Nguyen.

Madness Levels indicate the amount of insanity inspired in anticipation of a fight on a scale of 1 to 10, a numerical translation of just how excited we are for each fight.

Striving to be the most analytically astute fight preview column possible. Let the madness begin...

UD = Unanimous | SD = Split | MD = Majority Decision | SUB = Submission | (T)KO = (Technical)Knockout
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STRIKEFORCE: HENDERSON VS BABALU 2

Light Heavyweight Bout

DAN “HENDO” HENDERSON
(-250) = projected 69% chance of winning = $2.50 bet wins $1

RENATO “BABALU” SOBRAL
(+210) = projected 31% chance of winning = $1 bet wins $2.10

DAN HENDERSON: 25-8 (0-1 Strikeforce) – Weight: 204.5

LAST 5 FIGHTS (3-2)

LOSS to Jake Shields by UD in Strikeforce (4/10)

WIN over Michael Bisping by KO at UFC 100 (7/09)

WIN over Rich Franklin by SD at UFC 93 (1/09)

WIN over Rousimar Palhares by UD at UFC 88 (9/08)

LOSS to Anderson Silva by SUB at UFC 82 (3/08)

RENATO SOBRAL: 36-8 (2-1 Strikeforce) – Weight: 202

LAST 5 FIGHTS (4-1)

WIN over Robbie Lawler by UD in Strikeforce (6/10)

LOSS to Gegard Mousasi by KO in Strikeforce (8/09)

WIN over Sokoudjou by SUB in Affliction (1/09)

WIN over Bobby Southworth by TKO in Strikeforce (11/08)

WIN over Mike Whitehead by UD in Affliction (7/08)

Average Madness Level (1-10): 7.6

MMAMADMAN – (8) This rematch over a decade in the making should be quite a bit more exciting than the plodding RINGS: King of Kings 1999 tournament finale in Japan that saw Dan Henderson win by split decision. Henderson is coming off an embarrassing loss in his Strikeforce debut to new UFC star Jake Shields, where Henderson seemingly had Shields dead to rights in the first round of their Strikeforce Middleweight Championship fight, only to get smothered for the next 4 rounds after allowing Shields to survive. Babalu Sobral lost his Strikeforce Light Heavyweight Championship title to Gegard Mousasi, but then rebounded in his last fight with a win over Robbie Lawler in a 195-pound catchweight bout. Both Henderson and Babalu are returning to 205-pounds for this main event fight. This fight will likely determine the next number one contender to fight Rafael “Feijao” Cavalcante for the Strikeforce Light Heavyweight Championship. Henderson by Unanimous Decision

MAD MAT – (7) Decent rematch here with No. 1 contender implications, although I don't think Hendo should get a shot at 205 since he hasn’t competed at that weight in years. This should go down like their first encounter, if it doesn't, expect retirement talk from Hendo. Henderson by Decision

EVIL ERIC – (7) Hendo will bounce back after his disappointing performance against Jake Shields. Babalu could make a match of it but he is a little too inconsistent for my liking. Henderson has the edge in virtually every category and should control the fight throughout. Henderson by Unanimous Decision

JOSH KING – (8) I think Henderson could bomb Babalu with a big left at any point in this fight. That said, I see Hendo winning the first but tiring as the fight goes. Babalu uses deeper gas tank to eek out a Split Decision

JOHNNY NGUYEN – (8) This is gonna be a fantastic fight. Hendo has an iron chin, good KO power and awesome wrestling, whereas Babalu has good BJJ skills and good power. I’m gonna go with my gut and say Hendo by 1st rd KO

PICKS: DAN HENDERSON [4] - RENATO “BABALU” SOBRAL [1]
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Welterweight Bout

PAUL “SEMTEX” DALEY
(-380) = projected 77% chance of winning = $3.80 bet wins $1

SCOTT “HANDS OF STEEL” SMITH
(+315) = projected 23% chance of winning = $1 bet wins $3.15

PAUL DALEY: 25-9 (Strikeforce Debut) – Weight: 169.75

LAST 5 FIGHTS (4-1)

WIN over Jorge Masvidal by UD at Shark Fights 13 (9/10)

WIN over Daniel Acacio by SUB at Impact FC 2 (7/10)

LOSS to Josh Koscheck by UD at UFC 113 (5/10)

WIN over Dustin Hazelett by KO at UFC 108 (1/10)

WIN over Martin Kampmann by TKO at UFC 103 (9/09)

SCOTT SMITH: 17-7 (3-2 Strikeforce) – Weight: 170

LAST 5 FIGHTS (3-2)

LOSS to Cung Le by KO in Strikeforce (6/10)

WIN over Cung Le by KO in Strikeforce (12/09)

LOSS to Nick Diaz by SUB in Strikeforce (6/09)

WIN over Benji Radach by KO in Strikeforce (4/09)

WIN over Terry Martin by KO in Strikeforce (11/08)

Average Madness Level (1-10): 7.6

MMAMADMAN – (9) This fight has potential to be EPIC. Both guys love to stand and bang, and both guys can take a punch like nobody’s business. If ever a fight was destined to be a slugfest, this is it. Scott Smith, who started his career as a heavyweight, is dropping down to welterweight for this fight. The real winners in this fight are going to be the viewers, but since that would be a silly and abstract Roundtable prediction, I’ll go with Paul Daley by TKO in Round 3

MAD MAT – (8) Now this is a fight! The comeback artist vs the cheap shot Brit! Smith is a master at finding ways to win when you don't expect him to, and no one really expects him to win this one. He has never fought at welterweight before and Daley has a history of missing weight. They should be the same size with Smith maybe lacking gas from his first cut to 170. Daley is 1 fight away from a shot at Nick Diaz in my mind; that's how Strikeforce booking is. Daley by KO/TKO Round 2 (1 would be nice)

EVIL ERIC – (9) Unfortunately Daley is probably best known for being booted from the UFC for his cheap shot on Kos, but don't forget this bloke can throw down. And in Scott Smith, he's got an opponent ready and willing to stand and bang. This one ain't goin' the distance... Daley by TKO in Round 2

JOSH KING – (5) Wrestling vs BJJ, the classic -- oh wait. Two guys throwing down! Screw technique this is gonna be Fight of the Year stuff! (Sarcasm off – Daley is better, TKO at some point)

JOHNNY NGUYEN – (7) Man, this fight is gonna be insane. I’m 99% sure this is gonna be a slugfest. Who's got the better chin? We will find out. Daley by 2nd rd TKO

PICKS: PAUL DALEY [5] - SCOTT SMITH [0]
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TACHI PALACE FIGHTS 7 RESULTS: Jorge Oliveira Makes Successful Return to MMA, Jussier Da Silva Makes Successful US Debut

12/2/10 - TPF 7: DECK THE HALLS was held Thursday December 2, 2010 at the Tachi Palace Hotel and Casino in Lemoore, California. The event was heavily advertised by MMAjunkie.com to be streamed for free on their website. For those who were able to access the stream, it was intermittent throughout the show, and for the rest of us, it was an EPIC FAIL. After several frustrating hours of the stream only working for a few seconds here and there, I was finally able to watch the final two fights on justin.tv. Merry F'in Christmas.

Jorge "Van Damme" Oliveira made his return to MMA action after over a 2-year layoff to submit former UFC fighter James "The Sandman" Irvin in just over a minute and a half. In classic dopey Irvin fashion, with the BJJ black belt Oliveira on his back on the ground, instead of standing up to force Oliveira back up to his feet, Irvin hung out on top of Oliveira, dangling his arm with his head down until Oliveira locked on a triangle and wrenched Irvin's arm to force the tapout. Irvin has lost 4 out of his last 5 fights, so now it's The Sandman who's having nightmares instead of giving them.

Undefeated Brazilian flyweight sensation Jussier "Formiga" Da Silva made his United States debut with a decision victory over a game but ultimately overmatched Danny Martinez. Da Silva is likely next in line to face the winner of the upcoming TPF Flyweight Championship fight between champion Ulysses "Useless" Gomez and Darrell "The Mongoose" Montague.

Micah "Maverick" Miller, younger brother of UFC lightweight Cole Miller, failed to make weight for the first time in his career in what was supposed to be a TPF Featherweight Championship fight against champion Isaac De Jesus. Because Miller weighed in over 2 pounds over the 145-pound weight limit, he was deducted 20-percent of his purse and the fight was changed to a non-title bout. Miller won the fight with a neck crank in the first round, however, De Jesus remains the champ and Miller's chances are now bleak at using this victory to secure a spot in the UFC's new featherweight division. Hopefully Tachi Palace Fights can put together a rematch, with Miller making weight, and then maybe we can see Miller fighting in the Octagon alongside his big brother.

John "The Natural" Alessio, who recently had to turn down an offer to fight in the UFC due to a contractual obligation to continue in the United Glory tournament in Holland in early 2011, captured the TPF Welterweight Championship in a plodding fight with a TKO victory over Phil "The Pain" Collins, a man whose name has inspired its share of jokes in MMA website comment sections.

The Ultimate Fighter 11 participant Seth "The Polish Pistola" Baczynski used punches and elbows to score a TKO over former UFC fighter Tim "The Wrecking Machine" McKenzie. McKenzie has now lost 3 straight fights and is turning into "The Getting Wrecked Machine" with just a single victory in his last 5 fights.

In a true reversal of fortunes, former UFC fighter Jay Silva, who was coming off 3 straight losses including a 6-second KO loss in his last fight to Hector Lombard at Bellator 18, scored his own quick knockout win with a 33-second KO of Jaime "El Cucui" Jara, who had been riding an 8-fight winning streak.

In the opening fight of the night, Nik "The Machete" Fekete improved his undefeated record to 4-0 with a TKO victory over Chris "El Gringo" Bostick. Fekete wrestled at Michigan State University alongside current UFC stars Gray Maynard and Rashad Evans, and has long served as a key wrestling training partner for some of the top athletes in MMA including Evans, Forrest Griffin and Dan Henderson. Fekete is definitely a fighter to watch out for in the future.

TACHI PALACE FIGHTS 7: DECK THE HALLS

Jorge Oliveira (5-2) won by SUB over James Irvin (14-8)
[1:33] - Round 1 - triangle armbar

Jussier Da Silva (9-0) won by UD over Danny Martinez (13-4)
[15:00] - 3 Rounds - (29-28 all)

Micah Miller (16-4) won by SUB over Isaac De Jesus (9-3)
[4:11] - Round 1 - neck crank

{Welterweight Championship}
John Alessio (30-13) won by TKO over Phil Collins (9-6)
[10:35] - 0:35 Round 3 - punches

Seth Baczynski (12-6) won by TKO over Tim McKenzie (12-8)
[2:15] - Round 1 - punches and elbows

Jay Silva (6-4) won by KO over Jaime Jara (28-8)
[0:33] - Round 1 - punches

Tommy Vargas (7-1) won by UD over Martin Sandoval (6-3)
[15:00] - 3 Rounds

Tony Llamas (10-12) won by SUB over Sergio Quinones (4-7)
[7:03] - 2:03 Round 2 - armbar

Jimmy Ambriz (15-14) won by TKO over Mike Guidry (2-3)
[9:29] - 4:29 Round 2 - punches

Nik Fekete (4-0) won by TKO over Chris Bostick (5-3)
[9:06] - 4:06 Round 2 - punches

Updated MMA win-loss records with total fight time in brackets.

UD = Unanimous Decision | SUB = Submission

Monday, November 29, 2010

VIDEO: UFC 128 Preview - Mauricio Shogun Rua vs Rashad Evans Promo Trailer



NickTheFace is back with another of his stellar fan-made promo trailers, this time for the 2011 UFC Light Heavyweight Championship showdown between Mauricio "Shogun" Rua and "Suga" Rashad Evans at UFC 128.

Pic by Bad Boy
COMPLETE UFC 128 FIGHT CARD