UFC 124: ST-PIERRE VS KOSCHECK II will be held Saturday December 11, 2010 at the Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec, Canada. The main card will air live on PPV starting at 10:00 PM EST. At least 2 live preliminary bouts will air on UFC.com during the hour preceding the PPV, starting at 9:00 PM EST.
This Insane Preview features all the pertinent stats – betting lines translated into projected chance of winning percentages and monetary ratios, MMA and UFC win-loss records, last 5 fights for each fighter, official weigh-in results – as well as Sherdog Fight Finder links, Madness Levels, Roundtable discussion and Predictions for every single fight on the card!
Roundtable participants are MMAmadman Randy Rowles, “Evil” Eric Van Den Haas, “Mad” Mat Paré (@The_Pinch), Johnny Nguyen, “Mad Money” Mike Almeida and Joshua King (@Anon991).
Madness Levels indicate the amount of insanity inspired in anticipation of a fight on a scale of 1 to 10, a numerical translation of just how excited we are for each fight.
Johnny Nguyen is our defending UFC Madman Roundtable Champion.
Striving to be the most analytically astute fight preview column possible. Let the madness begin...
UD = Unanimous | SD = Split | MD = Majority Decision | SUB = Submission | (T)KO = (Technical)Knockout
GEORGES “RUSH” ST. PIERRE
(-445) = projected 80% chance of winning = $4.45 bet wins $1
JOSH “KOS” KOSCHECK
(+395) = projected 20% chance of winning = $1 bet wins $3.95
GEORGES ST. PIERRE: 20-2 (14-2 UFC) – Weight: 170
LAST 5 FIGHTS (5-0)
WIN over Thiago Alves by UD at UFC 100 (7/09)
WIN over BJ Penn by TKO at UFC 94 (1/09)
WIN over Jon Fitch by UD at UFC 87 (8/08)
WIN over Matt Serra by TKO at UFC 83 (4/08)
JOSH KOSCHECK: 15-4 (13-4 UFC) – Weight: 169
LAST 5 FIGHTS (4-1)
WIN over Anthony Johnson by SUB at UFC 106 (11/09)
WIN over Frank Trigg by TKO at UFC 103 (9/09)
LOSS to Paulo Thiago by TKO at UFC 95 (2/09)
WIN over Yoshiyuki Yoshida by KO at UFC Fight for the Troops 1 (12/08)
Average Madness Level (1-10): 9
MMAMADMAN - (10) Okay, I'll admit it, while writing for the MMATorch back in 2007, I picked Josh Koscheck to beat Georges St. Pierre at UFC 74. In fact, I was the only one of 7 to pick Koscheck. St. Pierre was coming off losing his title to Matt Serra via TKO, and Koscheck had strung together 5 straight victories in the Octagon. While Koscheck did manage to win 1 of 3 rounds on 2 judges' scorecards, St. Pierre was awarded the unanimous decision, and I was left looking deservedly foolish. In 6 fights and 23 rounds since first fighting Koscheck, St. Pierre has not lost a single round. This is an amazing feat given he's faced a murderer's row of opponents in that span -- Matt Hughes, Matt Serra, Jon Fitch, BJ Penn, Thiago Alves and Dan Hardy. Based on skill, St. Pierre outshines Koscheck in every facet of the game. The only trap I can see GSP falling into is an emotional one. After a tumultuous season coaching opposite Koscheck on The Ultimate Fighter 12, St. Pierre has developed what can only be described as a hatred for Koscheck. In pre-fight interviews, St. Pierre has expressed a desire to finish this fight. An overzealous approach could lead to a mistake by St. Pierre, and that would provide an opening for Koscheck to land a big overhand right, probably his best shot at winning this fight. St. Pierre is one of the smartest fighters in the game, so a mistake I don't expect he'll be making. St. Pierre by Unanimous Decision
EVIL ERIC - (9) There's a chance (albeit miniscule) Kos catches GSP with a big right, but this fight isn't really a question of who will win, but whether or not St. Pierre can finish Koscheck. The Canadian was dominant in their first encounter three years ago and while they've both improved since, Rush remains on another level. After all Josh's yapping, and fighting in his native Montreal, you know Georges will be extremely eager to put an emphatic end to this "rivalry." And I'm bettin' he does just that. GSP by Submission in Round 4
MAD MAT - (8) It's time! GSP defending his belt right here in my hometown of Montreal. F-ck, YEAH! That being said, does anyone really give Kos a chance? What is there to be said about this fight really? GSP is arguably the best fighter in the world, has already beaten Koscheck, and I would suggest Josh doesn't deserve this title shot at all. Beating Frank Trigg, Anthony Johnson and Paul Daley makes for a title shot?? Getting KTFO by Paulo Thiago just last year and losing to Thiago Alves tells me he has nothing to offer to Georges. Lots of people have been saying GSP has been working hard on his stand-up and many believe he can KO Koscheck. I highly doubt that, but a finish at the Bell Centre would be monumental! GSP by Decision (+150 prop bet)
JOHNNY NGUYEN - (10) Man, this is gonna be a freakin' awesome fight. I can't wait to see if Koscheck can back up all the BS he has been talking. GSP has already beaten Koscheck, and within that time, GSP has gotten even better all around -- scary as shit. I’m going with St. Pierre by whatever he wants, whenever he wants, but gonna guess by 3rd rd TKO
MAD MONEY MIKE - (8) I don't think Kos has even a puncher's chance here. I honestly think Dan Hardy has better stand-up, and I don't remember him even touching GSP. George will look to finish Kos, especially at home in Montreal. GSP by rear naked choke Submission round 3. I predict Josh does not make it back to the 'otel room (French accent), he's going straight to the 'ospital. See example video on YouTube.
JOSHUA KING - (9) Georges does everything just a bit better than Koscheck. Besides the proverbial puncher's chance, I don't see Josh getting the victory. GSP by Submission, 2nd or 3rd round
PICKS: GEORGES ST. PIERRE  - JOSH KOSCHECK 
STEFAN “SKYSCRAPER” STRUVE
(-160) = projected 61% chance of winning = $1.60 bet wins $1
SEAN “BIG SEXY” McCORKLE
(+150) = projected 39% chance of winning = $1 bet wins $1.50
STEFAN STRUVE: 20-4 (4-2 UFC) – Weight: 253
LAST 5 FIGHTS (4-1)
LOSS to Roy Nelson by TKO at UFC Fight Night 21 (3/10)
WIN over Paul Buentello by MD at UFC 107 (12/09)
WIN over Chase Gormley by SUB at UFC 104 (10/09)
WIN over Denis Stojnic by SUB at UFC 99 (6/09)
SEAN McCORKLE: 10-0 (1-0 UFC) – Weight: 264
LAST 5 FIGHTS (5-0)
WIN over Jonathan Ivey (29-44) by TKO at LOF 39 (5/10)
WIN over Bobby Favors (10-12) by TKO at LOF 38 (4/10)
WIN over Joe Mellotte (6-17) by SUB at LOF 37 (2/10)
WIN over James Ferguson (1-2) by SUB at LOF 19 (7/07)
Average Madness Level (1-10): 6.8
MMAMADMAN - (8) This fight has gotten a lot of slack from MMA writers and fans for its positioning in the co-main event slot. You won't hear any complaints from this MMA writer. I'm super psyched for this fight and love the fact that these two guys are being given such an awesome opportunity. Win, lose, or draw, Stefan Struve is one of the most exciting fighters in the UFC heavyweight division, and although Sean McCorkle only has one Octagon bout under his belt, you wouldn't know it from the confidence he exudes. Big Sexy is one badass mofo, and if you don't believe me, ask him. The shit-talking between these two is only matched by the enormous height of the combatants. Struve is 6'11" and McCorkle is 6'7", so this is going to be one of the tallest fights in UFC history. Struve has proven himself to be incredibly resilient, although he was quickly knocked out by Roy Nelson. McCorkle is still somewhat of a wild card -- he's undefeated, but all of his wins have come against sub par opponents. At 34 years old, this will be the first true test of McCorkle's career. There's a good chance I could be underestimating McCorkle here, but I just think the 22-year-old Struve has a brighter future. Struve by Submission in Round 1
EVIL ERIC - (7) Some Madness for this fight, as I'm lookin' forward to seein' Struve silence McCorkle, who's been talkin' a lot of smack for someone whose perfect MMA record is inflated from beating on farm boys in Indiana. Just 22 years old, The Skyscraper has already won 20 MMA fights (he's 4-2 in the UFC) and has battled guys a lot tougher than Big Sexy. McCorkle is gonna get schooled! Struve by Submission in Round 1
MAD MAT - (8) I love this fight! Don't think it should be a co-main event, but what a crazy match-up! You have to admire Struve being 6'11'' with a 20-4 record at just 22 years old. McCorkle is relatively new to the sport but has been on a killing spree. I was psyched that he was +200 vs Mark Hunt and cashed big on that one. +140 this time is a great price again. Yes he is fighting a taller opponent for the first time ever, but we have seen Struve get KTFO by fighters a foot shorter and in the first minute. McCorkle is for real and I think he will make short work of The Skyscraper. He might not want any part of Struve's ground game, so I see him overwhelming Stefan with a flurry of strikes for a first round stoppage. McCorkle by TKO (+382) Round 1 (+360 prop bets)
JOHNNY NGUYEN - (6) This will be an interesting match-up. Can McCorkle handle Stefan’s long-ass reach and ground game? If McCorkle comes in guns blazing, he can beat Stefan, but I’m gonna pick Struve by 2nd rd Submission
MAD MONEY MIKE - (7) I originally picked McCorkle to submit Struve, however with the recent interviews I couldn't help but notice "Big Sexy" reminds me of Matt "Meathead" Mitrione, a little psychotic and a big f-cking mouth. My decision remains the same. McCorkle by TKO rd 1
JOSHUA KING - (5) Co-main huh? Interesting. McCorkle can talk but I'm not sure he can handle Struve. Going with a Struve Submission in the 2nd
PICKS: STEFAN STRUVE  - SEAN McCORKLE