Friday, January 20, 2012

UFC ON FX 1 INSANE PREVIEW: Predictions, Translated Odds for 1/20/11 in Nashville



The Ultimate Fighting Championship will present UFC ON FX 1: GUILLARD VS MILLER on Friday, January 20, 2012, at the Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee. The main card will air live on FX starting at 9:00 pm EST. The undercard will air live on FUEL TV starting at 6:00 pm EST.

Playground Pick = MMAPlayground.com user poll results.

UD = Unanimous | SD = Split | MD = Majority Decision | SUB = Submission | (T)KO = (Technical)Knockout


UFC ON FX I: GUILLARD VS MILLER

1 – Lightweight Bout (155 lbs)

JIM MILLER
(-175) = projected 62% chance of winning = 1 unit wins 0.57 units

MELVIN GUILLARD
(+155) = projected 38% chance of winning = 1 unit wins 1.55 units

JIM MILLER

HEIGHT: 5’8” – REACH: 71” – AGE: 28 (USA)

RECORD: 20-3 (9-2 UFC)

11 wins by SUB | 6 wins by DEC | 3 wins by TKO

3 losses by DEC

LAST FIGHT – LOSS to Ben Henderson by UD at UFC Live 5 (8/11)

STREAK = -1

LAST WIN – over Kamal Shalorus by TKO at UFC 128 (3/11)

Jim Miller is currently ranked #11 in the Madman Top 25 Lightweight Rankings.

MELVIN "THE YOUNG ASSASSIN" GUILLARD

HEIGHT: 5’9” – REACH: 71.5” – AGE: 28 (USA)

RECORD: 29-9 (10-5 UFC)

19 wins by (T)KO | 8 wins by DEC | 2 wins by SUB

8 losses by SUB | 1 loss by DEC

LAST FIGHT – LOSS to Joe Lauzon by SUB at UFC 136 (10/11)

STREAK = -1

LAST WIN – over Shane Roller by KO at UFC 132 (7/11)

Melvin Guillard is currently ranked #15 in the Madman Top 25 Lightweight Rankings.

ODDSMAKERS’ FAVORITE – Jim Miller (62%)

MMAPLAYGROUND PICK – Jim Miller (68%)

MMAMADMAN PREDICTION – Jim Miller by Unanimous Decision


2 – Welterweight Bout (170 lbs)

DUANE LUDWIG
(-115) = projected 51% chance of winning = 1 unit wins 0.87 units

JOSH NEER
(-105) = projected 49% chance of winning = 1 unit wins 0.95 units

DUANE "BANG" LUDWIG

HEIGHT: 5’10” – REACH: 70” – AGE: 33 (USA)

RECORD: 21-11 (4-2 UFC)

10 wins by (T)KO | 6 wins by SUB | 5 wins by DEC

5 losses by (T)KO | 5 losses by SUB | 1 loss by DEC

LAST FIGHT – WIN over Amir Sadollah by UD at UFC Live 5 (8/11)

STREAK = +2

LAST LOSS – to Darren Elkins by TKO at UFC Live 1 (3/10)

JOSH "THE DENTIST" NEER

HEIGHT: 5’11” – REACH: 72.5” – AGE: 28 (USA)

RECORD: 32-10 (5-6 UFC)

17 wins by (T)KO | 11 wins by SUB | 4 wins by DEC

5 losses by DEC | 4 losses by SUB | 1 loss by KO

LAST FIGHT – WIN over Keith Wisniewski by TKO at UFC Live 6 (10/11)

STREAK = +5

LAST LOSS – to Eddie Alvarez by SUB at Bellator 17 (5/10)

ODDSMAKERS’ FAVORITE – Duane Ludwig (51%)

MMAPLAYGROUND PICK – Josh Neer (52%)

MMAMADMAN PREDICTION – Josh Neer by Submission in Round 2


3 – Bantamweight Bout (135 lbs)

MIKE EASTON
(-360) = projected 76% chance of winning = 1 unit wins 0.28 units

JARED PAPAZIAN
(+300) = projected 24% chance of winning = 1 unit wins 3 units

MIKE "THE HULK" EASTON

HEIGHT: 5’6” – AGE: 27 (USA)

RECORD: 11-1 (1-0 UFC)

5 wins by DEC | 4 wins by (T)KO | 2 wins by SUB

1 loss by TKO

LAST FIGHT – WIN over Byron Bloodworth by TKO at UFC Live 6 (10/11)

STREAK = +6

ONLY LOSS – to Reynaldo Walter Duarte by TKO (9/07)

JARED "THE JACKHAMMER" PAPAZIAN

HEIGHT: 5’8” – AGE: 23 (USA)

RECORD: 14-6 (UFC Debut)

8 wins by DEC | 5 wins by (T)KO | 1 win by SUB

4 losses by SUB | 2 losses by DEC

LAST FIGHT – WIN over Marvin Garcia by UD at KOTC: First Defense (9/11)

STREAK = +3

LAST LOSS – to Jimmie Rivera by UD at KOTC: Empire (2/11)

ODDSMAKERS’ FAVORITE – Mike Easton (76%)

MMAPLAYGROUND PICK – Mike Easton (90%)

MMAMADMAN PREDICTION – Mike Easton by Unanimous Decision


4 – Heavyweight Bout (265 lbs)

PAT BARRY
(-165) = projected 60% chance of winning = 1 unit wins 0.61 units

CHRISTIAN MORECRAFT
(+145) = projected 40% chance of winning = 1 unit wins 1.45 units

PAT "HD" BARRY

HEIGHT: 5’11” – REACH: 74.5” – AGE: 32 (USA)

RECORD: 6-4 (3-4 UFC)

5 wins by (T)KO | 1 win by DEC

3 losses by SUB | 1 loss by KO

LAST FIGHT – LOSS to Stefan Struve by SUB at UFC Live 6 (10/11)

STREAK = -2

LAST WIN – over Joey Beltran by UD at UFC Fight for the Troops 2 (1/11)

CHRISTIAN MORECRAFT

HEIGHT: 6’6” – REACH: 81” – AGE: 25 (USA)

RECORD: 7-2 (1-2 UFC)

4 wins by SUB | 3 wins by (T)KO

2 losses by KO

LAST FIGHT – LOSS to Matt Mitrione by KO at UFC Live 4 (6/11)

STREAK = -1

LAST WIN – over Sean McCorkle by SUB at UFC Fight Night 24 (3/11)

ODDSMAKERS’ FAVORITE – Pat Barry (60%)

MMAPLAYGROUND PICK – Pat Barry (84%)

MMAMADMAN PREDICTION – Pat Barry by TKO in Round 1


5 – Middleweight Bout (185 lbs)

ERIC SCHAFER
(-150) = projected 58% chance of winning = 1 unit wins 0.67 units

JORGE RIVERA
(+130) = projected 42% chance of winning = 1 unit wins 1.3 units

ERIC "RED" SCHAFER

HEIGHT: 6’3” – REACH: 76.5” – AGE: 34 (USA)

RECORD: 12-6 (3-5 UFC)

8 wins by SUB | 2 wins by TKO | 1 win by DEC

3 losses by DEC | 2 losses by TKO | 1 loss by SUB

LAST FIGHT – LOSS to Aaron Simpson by UD at UFC 136 (10/11)

STREAK = -1

LAST WIN – over Chris Albandia by SUB at XFO 41 (9/11)

JORGE "EL CONQUISTADOR" RIVERA

HEIGHT: 6’1” – REACH: 73” – AGE: 39 (USA)

RECORD: 19-9 (7-7 UFC)

13 wins by (T)KO | 4 wins by DEC | 2 wins by SUB

5 losses by (T)KO | 3 losses by SUB | 1 loss by DEC

LAST FIGHT – LOSS to Costa Philippou by SD at UFC 133 (8/11)

STREAK = -2

LAST WIN – over Nate Quarry by TKO at UFC Fight Night 21 (3/10)

ODDSMAKERS’ FAVORITE – Eric Schafer (58%)

MMAPLAYGROUND PICK – Jorge Rivera (53%)

MMAMADMAN PREDICTION – Jorge Rivera by TKO in Round 2


6 – Lightweight Bout (155 lbs)

KAMAL SHALORUS
(-135) = projected 55% chance of winning = 1 unit wins 0.74 units

KHABIB NURMAGOMEDOV
(+115) = projected 45% chance of winning = 1 unit wins 1.15 units

KAMAL "PRINCE OF PERSIA" SHALORUS

HEIGHT: 5’8” – AGE: 39 (IRAN-UK)

RECORD: 7-1 (0-1 UFC)

4 wins by TKO | 2 wins by DEC | 1 win by SUB

1 loss by TKO

LAST FIGHT – LOSS to Jim Miller by TKO at UFC 128 (3/11)

STREAK = -1

LAST WIN – over Bart Palaszewski by SD at WEC 53 (12/10)

KHABIB "THE EAGLE" NURMAGOMEDOV

HEIGHT: 5’10” – AGE: 23 (RUSSIA)

RECORD: 16-0 (UFC Debut)

6 wins by (T)KO | 6 wins by SUB | 4 wins by DEC

UNDEFEATED

LAST FIGHT – WIN over Arimarcel Santos by TKO in ProFC (10/11)

STREAK = +16

ODDSMAKERS’ FAVORITE – Kamal Shalorus (55%)

MMAPLAYGROUND PICK – Kamal Shalorus (61%)

MMAMADMAN PREDICTION – Shalorus by KO in Round 1


7 – Welterweight Bout (170 lbs)

CHARLIE BRENNEMAN
(-320) = projected 73% chance of winning = 1 unit wins 0.31 units

DANIEL ROBERTS
(+260) = projected 27% chance of winning = 1 unit wins 2.6 units

CHARLIE "THE SPANIARD" BRENNEMAN

HEIGHT: 5’10” – REACH: 70” – AGE: 30 (USA)

RECORD: 14-3 (3-2 UFC)

7 wins by DEC | 5 wins by TKO | 2 wins by SUB

2 losses by (T)KO | 1 loss by DEC

LAST FIGHT – LOSS to Anthony Johnson by KO at UFC Live 6 (10/11)

STREAK = -1

LAST WIN – over Rick Story by UD at UFC Live 4 (6/11)

Charlie Brenneman is currently ranked #17 in the Madman Top 25 Welterweight Rankings.

DANIEL "NINJA" ROBERTS

HEIGHT: 5’10” – REACH: 74” – AGE: 31 (USA)

RECORD: 12-3 (3-3 UFC)

9 wins by SUB | 3 wins by DEC

2 losses by DEC | 1 loss by KO

LAST FIGHT – LOSS to Rich Attonito by UD at UFC Live 4 (6/11)

STREAK = -2

LAST WIN – over Greg Soto by SUB at UFC 125 (1/11)

ODDSMAKERS’ FAVORITE – Charlie Brenneman (73%)

MMAPLAYGROUND PICK – Charlie Brenneman (88%)

MMAMADMAN PREDICTION – Charlie Brenneman by Unanimous Decision


8 – Lightweight Bout (155 lbs)

FABRICIO CAMOES
(-320) = projected 73% chance of winning = 1 unit wins 0.31 units

TOMMY HAYDEN
(+260) = projected 27% chance of winning = 1 unit wins 2.6 units

FABRICIO "MORANGO" CAMOES

HEIGHT: 5’10” – AGE: 33 (BRAZIL)

RECORD: 13-6 (0-1-1 UFC)

6 wins by SUB | 4 wins by TKO | 3 wins by DEC

3 losses by SUB | 2 losses by TKO | 1 loss by DEC

LAST FIGHT – WIN over Efrain Escudero by UD at Tachi Palace Fights 9 (5/11)

STREAK = +2

LAST LOSS – to Kurt Pellegrino by SUB at UFC 111 (3/10)

TOMMY "WILD CARD" HAYDEN

HEIGHT: 5’9” – AGE: 25 (USA)

RECORD: 8-0 (UFC Debut)

5 wins by SUB | 2 wins by TKO | 1 win by DQ

UNDEFEATED

LAST FIGHT – WIN over Harry Johnson by SUB at AAMMA 13 (5/11)

STREAK = +8

ODDSMAKERS’ FAVORITE – Fabricio Camoes (73%)

MMAPLAYGROUND PICK – Fabricio Camoes (72%)

MMAMADMAN PREDICTION – Fabricio Camoes by Unanimous Decision


9 – Featherweight Bout (145 lbs)

DANIEL PINEDA
(-125) = projected 53% chance of winning = 1 unit wins 0.8 units

PAT SCHILLING
(+105) = projected 47% chance of winning = 1 unit wins 1.05 units

DANIEL "THE PIT" PINEDA

HEIGHT: 5’7” – AGE: 26 (USA)

RECORD: 15-7 (UFC Debut | 0-2 Bellator)

9 wins by SUB | 6 wins by (T)KO

6 losses by SUB | 1 loss by DEC

LAST FIGHT – WIN over Gilbert Jimenez by TKO at Legacy FC 9 (12/11)

STREAK = +5

LAST LOSS – to Chas Skelly by SUB at Bellator 19 (5/10)

"THRILLING" PAT SCHILLING

HEIGHT: 5’8” – AGE: 23 (USA)

RECORD: 5-0 (UFC Debut)

4 wins by SUB | 1 win by TKO

UNDEFEATED

LAST FIGHT – WIN over Cody Larson (0-7) by SUB (6/11)

STREAK = +5

ODDSMAKERS’ FAVORITE – Daniel Pineda (53%)

MMAPLAYGROUND PICK – Tie (50-50%)

MMAMADMAN PREDICTION – Daniel Pineda by TKO in Round 2


10 – Bantamweight Bout (135 lbs)

NICK DENIS
(-250) = projected 69% chance of winning = 1 unit wins 0.4 units

JOSEPH SANDOVAL
(+210) = projected 31% chance of winning = 1 unit wins 2.1 units

NICK "THE NINJA OF LOVE" DENIS

HEIGHT: 5’7” – AGE: 28 (CANADA)

RECORD: 10-2 (UFC Debut)

9 wins by (T)KO | 1 win by SUB

1 loss by SUB | 1 loss by KO

LAST FIGHT – WIN over Nick Mamalis by KO at Wreck MMA 8 (10/11)

STREAK = +1

LAST LOSS – to Yuji Hoshino by SUB at Sengoku 12 (3/10)

JOSEPH SANDOVAL

HEIGHT: 5’7” – AGE: 25 (USA)

RECORD: 6-1 (0-1 UFC)

3 wins by DEC | 2 wins by (T)KO | 1 win by SUB

1 loss by TKO

LAST FIGHT – LOSS to Walel Watson by TKO at UFC Live 6 (10/11)

STREAK = -1

LAST WIN – over Randy Hinds by SUB at Shark Fights 16 (6/11)

ODDSMAKERS’ FAVORITE – Nick Denis (69%)

MMAPLAYGROUND PICK – Nick Denis (80%)

MMAMADMAN PREDICTION – Nick Denis by TKO in Round 1



Betting odds and opinions are included in this article for entertainment purposes only – to illustrate oddsmakers' projections of winners and losers – and are not intended to be the basis of or used for any actual gambling.